MLSMatchday 1 · · PayPal Park

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas — MLS Matchday 1

The MLS sets the standard — and matchday 1 raises the bar further with San Jose Earthquakes (.) hosting FC Dallas (.) at PayPal Park on at . Our full head-to-head breakdown, form analysis and top bookmaker odds comparison deliver everything you need to bet with confidence.
San Jose Earthquakes LogoSan Jose EarthquakesDDWWW
·
FC Dallas LogoFC DallasWWLLD
1X27/15VelobetT&C's apply | +18
1X273/20PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X29/2VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipFC Dallas +1.5 GoalsProbability68% 17/25 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Top-flight football in the MLS doesn't get much more compelling than this. San Jose Earthquakes (.) welcome FC Dallas (.) to PayPal Park on at in matchday 1 of the season. San Jose Earthquakes have scored goals this season at an average of per game and drew their last fixture 1 - 1 against Vancouver Whitecaps. FC Dallas (.) delivered a polished performance against Real Salt Lake (3 - 1), having won 5 of their last 12 games. Our model gives a 52% probability to San Jose Earthquakes winning this top-flight showdown at 52%.

MLS Matchday 1: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview

Three-Way BetSan Jose Earthquakes52%1/2·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals75%2/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipFC Dallas +1.5 Goals68%17/25·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetSan Jose Earthquakes 52% · X 21% · FC Dallas 27%San Jose EarthquakesXFC DallasBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 72% · No 28%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 75% · Under 25%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 55% · Under 45%OverUnderCorrect Score2-19%2-27%3-17%

Who will win the match?

San Jose Earthquakes
X
FC Dallas
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Best San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas pre-match odds

 ProbabilitySan Jose Earthquakes52%Draw21%FC Dallas27%Velobet7/1515/49/2Odd last updated:Zizobet11/237/219/4Odd last updated:Palmslots1/273/2043/10Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes Form
Last 5 games
DDWWW
On the previous matchday, San Jose Earthquakes went up against Vancouver Whitecaps and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head into this fixture looking to find a winner.
Looking at the past 6 months, San Jose Earthquakes have taken 9 wins from 11 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 4 victories and defeats. On average they have scored 2.45 and conceded 0.64 goals per game.
A closer look at San Jose Earthquakes's last 11 games reveals a side that has scored 27 goals and conceded 7. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 5 home fixtures, with defeats — averaging 2.45 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game.
FC Dallas Form
Last 5 games
WWLLD
The most recent game for FC Dallas saw them take on Real Salt Lake, with the match ending 3 - 1. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to PayPal Park. They now make the trip to PayPal Park for this MLS clash.
Over the past 6 months, FC Dallas have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their 12 games. Away from home they have picked up 2 wins from 4 fixtures, losing 2. They have scored 23 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.92 per game.
FC Dallas's most recent 12 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 23 goals (1.92 per game) while conceding 16 (1.33 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, FC Dallas have won 2, drawn and lost 2 of their 4 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to PayPal Park.
Stats per Game
San Jose Earthquakes FC Dallas
Goals scored
2.4
2
Corners
5.3
4.3
Fouls
11.6
12.9
Saves
2.4
2.2
MLS

MLS Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Nashville S.C. Logo Nashville S.C.111524
2New England Revolution Logo New England Revolution11722
3Inter Miami CF Logo Inter Miami CF12522
Last Meetings
07/17/2025
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2-2
06/26/2025
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
2-4
10/03/2024
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
3-2
02/25/2024
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ San Jose Earthquakes ■ FC Dallas

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas on

The numbers point clearly to a home victory for San Jose Earthquakes in this MLS fixture – our model assigns a 52% probability to this outcome, with the best odds of 1/2 at Rollino. Across all available bet markets, our top tip is "Handicap - 1.5" – combining a strong 68% probability with attractive odds of 17/25 at Zizobet.Best Tip FC Dallas +1.5 Goals17/25Place betT&C's apply | +18