Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC

When the MLS reaches matchday 1, the quality on show is at its peak — and Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC at Orlando City Stadium on 05/16/2026 is no exception. Orlando City SC (.) have kept 2 wins at home this season, scoring 9 and conceding 9 on their own patch. Atlanta United FC (.) were beaten against LA Galaxy (1 - 2), having won 3 of their last 12 games. Our data-driven model gives a 39% probability to Atlanta United FC claiming a prestigious away win in the MLS at 39%.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC

Three-Way BetAtlanta United FC39%49/18·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%11/23·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X264%10/11·RollinoT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetOrlando City SC 36% · X 25% · Atlanta United FC 39%Orlando City SCXAtlanta United FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 59% · No 41%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%OverUnderCorrect Score1-112%0-09%1-29%

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Full Odds Comparison for the MLS Clash at Orlando City Stadium

ProbabilityOrlando City SC36%Draw25%Atlanta United FC39%

10/113/112/5Odd last updated:

17/2014/513/5Odd last updated:

9/1059/2027/11Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

Orlando City SC Form

Last 5 games

LWLWL

On the previous matchday, Orlando City SC went up against CF Montréal and suffered a defeat at 2 - 0. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.

Orlando City SC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 3 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 12 games. At home, they have won 2 of 5 games, scoring 9 goals and conceding 9 on their own turf.

Looking at Orlando City SC's recent run of 12 games, they have netted 16 goals at a rate of 1.33 per game. Defensively, they have let in 34 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Orlando City SC have won 2 and lost 3 of their 5 home games in this stretch.

Atlanta United FC Form

Last 5 games

LWWLL

On the previous matchday, Atlanta United FC went up against LA Galaxy and suffered a defeat at 1 - 2. The result means there is added pressure to deliver a positive result at Orlando City Stadium.

In the last 6 months, Atlanta United FC have played 12 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and 3 defeats from 4 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 13 goals while conceding 20 – a defensive average of 1.67 per game.

Atlanta United FC's most recent 12 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 13 goals (1.08 per game) while conceding 20 (1.67 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Atlanta United FC have won 1, drawn and lost 3 of their 4 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Orlando City Stadium.

Stats per Game

Orlando City SC Atlanta United FC

Goals scored

1.3

Corners

3.4

5.3

Fouls

10.6

10.3

Saves

3.5

2.6

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	11	15	24
2	New England Revolution	11	7	22
3	Inter Miami CF	12	5	22
· · · 8 places · · ·
12	Columbus Crew	12	-3	12
13	Atlanta United FC Away	12	-7	10
14	Orlando City SC Home	12	-18	10
15	Philadelphia Union	12	-9	6

Last Meetings

05/28/2025

Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC

3-2

04/26/2025

Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC

3-0

11/24/2024

Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC

1-0

10/19/2024

Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC

1-2

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Orlando City SC ■ Atlanta United FC

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 1

The numbers point clearly to an away victory for Atlanta United FC in this MLS fixture – our model assigns a 39% probability to this outcome, with the best odds of 49/18 at Rollino. Across all available bet markets, our top tip is "Double Chance" – combining a strong 64% probability with attractive odds of 10/11 at Rollino.Best Tip Double Chance X210/11Place betT&C's apply | +18