New York City FC vs Toronto FC

Playing in the MLS means competing at the highest level the association has to offer — and matchday 1 brings a fixture that lives up to that standard. New York City FC (.) host Toronto FC (.) at Yankee Stadium on Friday at 23:30. New York City FC lost their last game 2 - 1 against Nashville S.C. and have conceded goals this season. The visitors (Toronto FC., .) came unstuck against Chicago Fire FC (2 - 1). Our statistical evaluation gives a 47% probability to New York City FC taking the win on the top-flight stage.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the MLS Fixture

Three-Way BetNew York City FC47%2/3·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals62%10/13·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals62%10/13·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetNew York City FC 47% · X 23% · Toronto FC 30%New York City FCXToronto FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 63% · No 37%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 62% · Under 38%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 40% · Under 60%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-19%1-27%

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Current odds for New York City FC vs Toronto FC

ProbabilityNew York City FC47%Draw23%Toronto FC30%

2/3299/10047/12Odd last updated:

5/83/115/4Odd last updated:

2/329/1015/4Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

New York City FC Form

Last 5 games

LDWWL

The last outing for New York City FC was against Nashville S.C. – a match they lost 2 - 1. A defeat they will be eager to put right.

New York City FC's most recent 15 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 25 goals (1.67 per game) while conceding 21 (1.4 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, New York City FC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 8 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

Over their last 15 matches, New York City FC have found the net 25 times — that's 1.67 goals per game on average. They have conceded 21 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 3 wins and 3 defeats from 8 home fixtures.

Toronto FC Form

Last 5 games

LLLDL

On the previous matchday, Toronto FC went up against Chicago Fire FC and suffered a defeat at 2 - 1. The result means there is added pressure to deliver a positive result at Yankee Stadium.

Toronto FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 3 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats from 14 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 5 games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 11 on the road.

Over their last 14 matches, Toronto FC have found the net 22 times — that's 1.57 goals per game on average. They have conceded 29 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 1 wins and 4 defeats from 5 away fixtures.

Stats per Game

New York City FC Toronto FC

Goals scored

1.2

1.8

Corners

2.8

5.5

Fouls

12.7

Saves

3.6

2.5

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	14	20	33
2	Inter Miami CF	15	11	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	11	26
· · · 3 places · · ·
7	FC Cincinnati	15	-1	20
8	New York City FC Home	15	4	19
9	D.C. United	15	-4	18
· · · 2 places · · ·
12	Orlando City SC	15	-21	14
13	Toronto FC Away	14	-7	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	-9	11

Last Meetings

07/03/2025

New York City FC
Toronto FC

3-1

04/26/2025

Toronto FC
New York City FC

0-1

05/11/2024

Toronto FC
New York City FC

2-3

03/16/2024

New York City FC
Toronto FC

2-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ New York City FC ■ Toronto FC

New York City FC vs Toronto FC: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 1

What does the data say about New York City FC vs Toronto FC? Our model is clear: New York City FC to take the win in front of their home crowd is the most likely outcome – 47% probability, best odds 2/3 at Palmslots. Our standout pick across all bet markets is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" – 62% probability and odds of 10/13 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals10/13Place betT&C's apply | +18