New England Revolution vs Toronto FC – Expert Prediction & Best Odds

When the MLS reaches matchday 1, the quality on show is at its peak — and New England Revolution vs Toronto FC at Gillette Stadium on 07/22/2026 is no exception. New England Revolution (.) have kept 6 wins at home this season, scoring 11 and conceding 6 on their own patch. Toronto FC (.) were beaten against Chicago Fire FC (2 - 1), having won 3 of their last 14 games. Our data-driven model gives a 42% probability to New England Revolution winning this top-flight home fixture at 42%.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

Three-Way BetNew England Revolution42%3/4·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals53%8/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals47%13/12·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetNew England Revolution 42% · X 25% · Toronto FC 33%New England RevolutionXToronto FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 57% · No 43%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 53% · Under 47%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 31% · Under 69%OverUnderCorrect Score1-112%1-09%2-19%

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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

ProbabilityNew England Revolution42%Draw25%Toronto FC33%

3/414/516/5Odd last updated:

8/1127/107/2Odd last updated:

Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

New England Revolution Form

Last 5 games

LWLWW

New England Revolution most recently faced Charlotte FC, losing the match 1 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.

Over the past 6 months, New England Revolution have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their 13 games. At home they have picked up 6 wins from 7 fixtures, losing 1. They have scored 16 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.23 per game.

Over their last 13 matches, New England Revolution have found the net 16 times — that's 1.23 goals per game on average. They have conceded 17 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 6 wins and 1 defeats from 7 home fixtures.

Toronto FC Form

Last 5 games

LLLDL

Toronto FC's last competitive outing ended 2 - 1 against Chicago Fire FC — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Gillette Stadium for this MLS fixture on Wednesday.

The last 6 months have seen Toronto FC play 14 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 6. Of their 5 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 4. They have scored 22 goals home and away combined, conceding 29.

Looking at Toronto FC's recent run of 14 games, they have netted 22 goals at a rate of 1.57 per game. Defensively, they have let in 29 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Toronto FC have won 1 and lost 4 of their 5 away games in this stretch.

Stats per Game

New England Revolution Toronto FC

Goals scored

1.4

1.8

Corners

5.5

Fouls

12.7

Saves

2.5

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	14	20	33
2	Inter Miami CF	15	11	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	11	26
4	New England Revolution Home	14	4	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	-7	22
· · · 6 places · · ·
12	Orlando City SC	15	-21	14
13	Toronto FC Away	14	-7	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	-9	11

Last Meetings

05/03/2025

Toronto FC
New England Revolution

0-2

04/20/2024

Toronto FC
New England Revolution

1-0

03/03/2024

New England Revolution
Toronto FC

0-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ New England Revolution ■ Toronto FC

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC: Our AI-Powered Tip for the MLS

The data speaks clearly ahead of this MLS matchday 1 fixture. Our model rates New England Revolution winning on home soil at 42% – best odds of 3/4 at Velobet. Our best value bet across all available markets remains "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" – a compelling combination of 47% probability and odds of 13/12 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals13/12Place betT&C's apply | +18