MLSMatchday 1 · · Saputo Stadium

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: CF Montréal vs Toronto FC — MLS Matchday 1

Elite football, high stakes and the best betting tips. CF Montréal host Toronto FC on at Saputo Stadium in one of the standout fixtures of matchday 1 in the MLS. Coming off a 4 - 4 against D.C. United, the hosts will be eager to impress on the biggest stage. Here's our AI-powered full preview.
CF Montréal LogoCF MontréalDLDWL
·
Toronto FC LogoToronto FCLLLDL
1X24/5RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X257/20PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X271/24RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 3.5 GoalsProbability44% 17/11 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

All roads lead to Saputo Stadium on as CF Montréal (.) host Toronto FC (.) in matchday 1 of the MLS — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. CF Montréal drew 4 - 4 against D.C. United last time out and have scored 10 goals at home this season while conceding 7. Toronto FC (.) suffered a loss they will want to put right against Chicago Fire FC (2 - 1), having won 3 of their last 14 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 47% probability to CF Montréal taking the points on home soil in the top flight.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for CF Montréal vs Toronto FC with Current Odds

Three-Way BetCF Montréal47%13/16·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals66%5/8·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals44%17/11·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetCF Montréal 47% · X 22% · Toronto FC 31%CF MontréalXToronto FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 66% · No 34%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 66% · Under 34%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 44% · Under 56%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-19%2-27%

Who will win the match?

CF Montréal
X
Toronto FC
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The Best Bookmaker Odds for CF Montréal vs Toronto FC – Side by Side

 ProbabilityCF Montréal47%Draw22%Toronto FC31%Velobet4/529/1014/5Odd last updated:Zizobet4/527/1029/10Odd last updated:Palmslots13/1657/2029/10Odd last updated:

Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope

CF Montréal Form
Last 5 games
DLDWL
CF Montréal's last competitive outing ended 4 - 4 against D.C. United — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at Saputo Stadium on .
Over the past 6 months, CF Montréal have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their 14 games. At home they have picked up 3 wins from 6 fixtures, losing 2. They have scored 22 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.57 per game.
Over their last 14 matches, CF Montréal have found the net 22 times — that's 1.57 goals per game on average. They have conceded 31 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 3 wins and 2 defeats from 6 home fixtures.
Toronto FC Form
Last 5 games
LLLDL
Toronto FC's last competitive outing ended 2 - 1 against Chicago Fire FC — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Saputo Stadium for this MLS fixture on .
In the last 6 months, Toronto FC have played 14 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and 4 defeats from 5 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 22 goals while conceding 29 – a defensive average of 2.07 per game.
Looking at Toronto FC's recent run of 14 games, they have netted 22 goals at a rate of 1.57 per game. Defensively, they have let in 29 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Toronto FC have won 1 and lost 4 of their 5 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
CF Montréal Toronto FC
Goals scored
1.8
1.8
Corners
4.9
5.5
Fouls
14.6
12.7
Saves
2.8
2.5
MLS

MLS Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Nashville S.C. Logo Nashville S.C.142033
2Inter Miami CF Logo Inter Miami CF151131
3Chicago Fire FC Logo Chicago Fire FC141126
· · · 6 places · · ·
10Columbus Crew Logo Columbus Crew15-216
11CF Montréal Logo CF Montréal Home14-914
12Orlando City SC Logo Orlando City SC15-2114
13Toronto FC Logo Toronto FC Away14-714
14Atlanta United FC Logo Atlanta United FC14-911
Last Meetings
05/17/2025
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
1-6
04/30/2025
Toronto FC
CF Montréal
2-3
07/20/2024
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
0-1
05/18/2024
Toronto FC
CF Montréal
5-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ CF Montréal ■ Toronto FC

CF Montréal vs Toronto FC: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip

What does the data say about CF Montréal vs Toronto FC? Our model is clear: CF Montréal to take the win in front of their home crowd is the most likely outcome – 47% probability, best odds 13/16 at Palmslots. Our standout pick across all bet markets is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" – 44% probability and odds of 17/11 at Palmslots.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals17/11Place betT&C's apply | +18