At on , Q2 Stadium hosts another chapter in the MLS — the association's premier competition. Austin FC (.) take on St. Louis City SC (.) in matchday 1 of the season. The hosts drew against Toronto FC (3 - 3), while St. Louis City SC lost 4 - 1 against Seattle Sounders FC and have conceded just goals per game on average this season. In the last 6 months, Austin FC have won 1 of their 4 home games at Q2 Stadium. Our model arrives at a 44% probability for Austin FC to come out on top in this top-flight encounter.
MLS Matchday 1: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview
Three-Way BetAustin FC44%13/11·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%19/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%19/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetAustin FC 44% · X 27% · St. Louis City SC 29%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 50% · No 50%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%Correct Score1-113%1-011%2-19%
Who will win Austin FC vs St. Louis City SC?
X
Best Available Odds for Austin FC vs St. Louis City SC on
ProbabilityAustin FC44%Draw27%St. Louis City SC29%
23/205/22/1Odd last updated:
23/2012/521/10Odd last updated:
9/85/211/5Odd last updated:
23/205/22/1Odd last updated:23/2012/521/10Odd last updated:9/85/211/5Odd last updated:Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?
Austin FC Form
Last 5 games
DLDDL
The most recent game for Austin FC saw them take on Toronto FC, with the match ending 3 - 3. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better here. They head into this MLS fixture at Q2 Stadium on looking to build on recent performances.
Austin FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 8 games. At home, they have won 1 of 4 games, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4 on their own turf.
Looking at Austin FC's recent run of 8 games, they have netted 11 goals at a rate of 1.38 per game. Defensively, they have let in 14 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Austin FC have won 1 and lost 1 of their 4 home games in this stretch.
St. Louis City SC Form
Last 5 games
LDDWL
St. Louis City SC's last competitive outing ended 4 - 1 against Seattle Sounders FC — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Q2 Stadium for this MLS fixture on .
St. Louis City SC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 8 games. Away from home, they have won of 5 games, scoring 3 goals and conceding 10 on the road.
In their last 8 games, St. Louis City SC have scored a total of 7 goals — an average of 0.88 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 13 goals, giving them an average of 1.63 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from 5 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Austin FC
St. Louis City SC
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
MLS
MLS Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville S.C. | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami CF | 8 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 |  Charlotte FC | 8 | 5 | 14 |
Last Meetings
03/30/2025
St. Louis City SC
Austin FC
Austin FC
0-1
02/08/2025
Austin FC
St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC
1-1
04/14/2024
St. Louis City SC
Austin FC
Austin FC
1-0
03/10/2024
Austin FC
St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Austin FC
■ St. Louis City SC
Austin FC vs St. Louis City SC: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 1
Our statistical model points towards Austin FC making the most of home advantage — a 44% probability, with the best odds of 13/11 at Rollino. When combining probability and value, our single best tip for this MLS match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — backed by a 54% probability and odds of 19/20 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals19/20Place betT&C's apply | +18More MLS Fixtures
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