ChampionshipMatchday 16 · · Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City F.C. vs Birmingham City on : AI Prediction, Stats & Top Odds

On paper they couldn't be closer — 4. meets 3. in the Championship as Stoke City F.C. host Birmingham City at Bet365 Stadium on at . With both sides arriving off contrasting runs — Stoke City F.C. last going 0 - 0 against Bristol City and Birmingham City recording 1 - 0 against Cardiff City F.C. — our AI-powered analysis reveals who has the real edge.
Stoke City F.C. LogoStoke City F.C.4DWLWL
·
Birmingham City LogoBirmingham City3LWWWD
1X221/11RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X29/4ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X223/17RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability54% 4/5 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Separated by just one spot in the Championship standings, Stoke City F.C. and Birmingham City meet at Bet365 Stadium on in what promises to be a fiercely contested matchday 16 fixture. Stoke City F.C. (4.) drew their last outing 0 - 0 against Bristol City and have taken wins from 2 home games this period. Birmingham City (3.) came unstuck against Cardiff City F.C. (1 - 0). Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 53% probability for Birmingham City to claim an away victory that reshuffles the standings.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Stoke City F.C. vs Birmingham City with Current Odds

Three-Way BetBirmingham City53%23/17·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%4/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%4/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetStoke City F.C. 22% · X 25% · Birmingham City 53%Stoke City F.C.XBirmingham CityBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 47% · No 53%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score0-020%1-020%0-113%

Stoke City F.C. vs Birmingham City: who will win?

Stoke City F.C.
X
Birmingham City
Submit your tip and see how others have voted.

The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

 ProbabilityStoke City F.C.22%Draw25%Birmingham City53%Zizobet2/19/413/10Odd last updated:Rollino21/1141/1823/17Odd last updated:

Stoke City F.C. vs Birmingham City: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form

Stoke City F.C. Form
Last 5 games
DWLWL
Stoke City F.C.'s last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Bristol City — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at Bet365 Stadium on .
The last 6 months have seen Stoke City F.C. play 4 competitive matches, winning 2 and losing 1. Of their 2 home games during this stretch, they have won and lost 1. They have scored 5 goals at home and away combined, conceding 4.
Looking at Stoke City F.C.'s recent run of 4 games, they have netted 5 goals at a rate of 1.25 per game. Defensively, they have let in 4 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Stoke City F.C. have won and lost 1 of their 2 home games in this stretch.
Birmingham City Form
Last 5 games
LWWWD
Birmingham City most recently faced Cardiff City F.C., losing the match 1 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back and take something from this trip to Bet365 Stadium.
Over the past 6 months, Birmingham City have won 3, drawn and lost 1 of their 4 games. Away from home they have picked up 1 wins from 2 fixtures, losing 1. They have scored 8 goals in total during this period – an average of 2 per game.
Looking at Birmingham City's recent run of 4 games, they have netted 8 goals at a rate of 2 per game. Defensively, they have let in 1 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Birmingham City have won 1 and lost 1 of their 2 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Stoke City F.C. Birmingham City
Goals scored
0.8
1.7
Corners
6
4.6
Fouls
9.1
11.8
Saves
2.3
2
Championship

Championship Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Middlesbrough F.C. Logo Middlesbrough F.C.141128
2Wolverhampton Wanderers14827
3Birmingham City Logo Birmingham City Away141326
4Stoke City F.C. Logo Stoke City F.C. Home14526
5Swansea City A.F.C. Logo Swansea City A.F.C.14526
Last Meetings
01/24/2026
Birmingham City
Stoke City F.C.
1-1
09/13/2025
Stoke City F.C.
Birmingham City
1-0
01/20/2024
Stoke City F.C.
Birmingham City
1-2
12/26/2023
Birmingham City
Stoke City F.C.
1-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Stoke City F.C. ■ Birmingham City

Stoke City F.C. vs Birmingham City: Our Statistical Model's Best Bet for This Championship Clash at Bet365 Stadium

When direct table neighbours meet in the Championship, the margins are always tight — and the betting markets reflect that. Our model gives Birmingham City the edge to claim an important away win a probability of 53%, with best odds of 23/17 at Rollino. Given the closeness of this fixture, the Double Chance X2 at 78% is a sensible safety net. Our best overall tip, combining value and probability, is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — a 54% probability and odds of 4/5 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals4/5Place betT&C's apply | +18