ChampionshipMatchday 16 · · St Mary's Stadium

Southampton FC vs Derby County F.C. on : The Best Bets and Current Odds

Southampton FC come into matchday 16 of the Championship sitting 7. in the standings, while Derby County F.C. currently occupy 23. place. Our in-depth betting preview covers all the angles – from head-to-head records to the top odds on the market today.
Southampton FC LogoSouthampton FC7WDWWW
·
Derby County F.C. LogoDerby County F.C.23DLLDL
1X23/8ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X215/4RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X2113/20RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability65% 13/8 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

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The Best Betting Tips for Southampton FC vs Derby County F.C. at a Glance

Three-Way BetSouthampton FC53%2/5·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals65%13/8·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals65%13/8·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetSouthampton FC 53% · X 28% · Derby County F.C. 19%Southampton FCXDerby County F.C.Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 38% · No 62%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 35% · Under 65%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 16% · Under 84%OverUnderCorrect Score1-017%0-113%2-012%

Who will win the match?

Southampton FC
X
Derby County F.C.
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Top odds for the Championship match Southampton FC vs Derby County F.C.

 ProbabilitySouthampton FC53%Draw28%Derby County F.C.19%Zizobet3/815/411/2Odd last updated:Rollino2/515/4113/20Odd last updated:

Southampton FC and Derby County F.C.: Form Guide and Statistical Comparison

Southampton FC Form
Last 5 games
WDWWW
The most recent game for Southampton FC saw them take on West Ham United, with the match ending 2 - 3. The win is a timely confidence boost ahead of this next fixture. They head into this Championship fixture at St Mary's Stadium on looking to build on recent performances.
Southampton FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 3 wins, 1 draws and defeats from 4 games. At home, they have won 1 of 2 games, scoring 1 goals and conceding on their own turf.
Southampton FC's most recent 4 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 5 goals (1.25 per game) while conceding 2 (0.5 per game). In terms of home performances, Southampton FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost of their 2 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
DLLDL
On the previous matchday, Derby County F.C. went up against Sheffield United and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head to St Mary's Stadium looking to find a winner away from home.
In the last 6 months, Derby County F.C. have played 4 games, winning of them. Their away record in that period reads wins and 1 defeats from 2 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 3 goals while conceding 7 – a defensive average of 1.75 per game.
In their last 4 games, Derby County F.C. have scored a total of 3 goals — an average of 0.75 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 7 goals, giving them an average of 1.75 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from 2 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Southampton FC Derby County F.C.
Goals scored
1.9
1.2
Corners
5.5
4.4
Fouls
9
12.6
Saves
4
3.4
Championship

Championship Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Middlesbrough F.C. Logo Middlesbrough F.C.141128
2Wolverhampton Wanderers14827
3Birmingham City Logo Birmingham City141326
· · · 2 places · · ·
6West Bromwich Albion Logo West Bromwich Albion14525
7Southampton FC Logo Southampton FC Home141524
8West Ham United141523
· · · 13 places · · ·
22Burnley F.C.14-810
23Derby County F.C. Logo Derby County F.C. Away15-1610
24Preston North End F.C. Logo Preston North End F.C.14-185
Last Meetings
04/11/2026
Southampton FC
Derby County F.C.
2-1
10/04/2025
Derby County F.C.
Southampton FC
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Southampton FC ■ Derby County F.C.

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for Southampton FC vs Derby County F.C. on

Our statistical model points towards Southampton FC making the most of home advantage — a 53% probability, with the best odds of 2/5 at Rollino. When combining probability and value, our single best tip for this Championship match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — backed by a 65% probability and odds of 13/8 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals13/8Place betT&C's apply | +18