OGC Nice vs FC Metz: Prediction, Stats & Best Odds

When two sides fighting for survival meet in the Ligue 1, every tackle, every chance and every goal takes on added significance. OGC Nice (16.) open the doors of Allianz Riviera to FC Metz (18.) on Sunday at 19:00. OGC Nice lost their last match 2 - 1 against AJ Auxerre and have won just of their last 10 home games. The visitors (FC Metz., 18.) came away empty-handed against FC Lorient (0 - 4), having scored 10 goals in away games this period. Our statistical evaluation gives a 44% probability to OGC Nice securing three precious points in front of their home support.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Ligue 1 Fixture

Three-Way BetOGC Nice44%4/11·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%25/18·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%25/18·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetOGC Nice 44% · X 27% · FC Metz 29%OGC NiceXFC MetzBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 50% · No 50%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-011%2-19%

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Current odds for OGC Nice vs FC Metz

ProbabilityOGC Nice44%Draw27%FC Metz29%

8/25108/25263/33Odd last updated:

4/114/18/1Odd last updated:

4/114/16/1Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

OGC Nice Form

Last 5 games

LDDDD

OGC Nice most recently faced AJ Auxerre, losing the match 2 - 1. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.

OGC Nice's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 2 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats from 21 games. At home, they have won of 10 games, scoring 9 goals and conceding 22 on their own turf.

Looking at OGC Nice's recent run of 21 games, they have netted 20 goals at a rate of 0.95 per game. Defensively, they have let in 42 goals over the same period. At home specifically, OGC Nice have won and lost 4 of their 10 home games in this stretch.

FC Metz Form

Last 5 games

LLDLL

FC Metz's last competitive outing ended 0 - 4 against FC Lorient — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Allianz Riviera for this Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday.

The last 6 months have seen FC Metz play 20 competitive matches, winning and losing 15. Of their 10 away games during this stretch, they have won and lost 7. They have scored 17 goals home and away combined, conceding 45.

FC Metz's most recent 20 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 17 goals (0.85 per game) while conceding 45 (2.25 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, FC Metz have won , drawn 3 and lost 7 of their 10 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Allianz Riviera.

Stats per Game

OGC Nice FC Metz

Goals scored

0.7

Corners

4.4

4.8

Fouls

11.1

Saves

3.2

Ligue 1

Ligue 1 Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Paris Saint Germain	32	44	73
2	RC Lens	32	29	67
3	Lille OSC	33	17	61
· · · 11 places · · ·
15	AJ Auxerre	33	-12	31
16	OGC Nice Home	33	-23	31
17	FC Nantes	33	-23	23
18	FC Metz Away	33	-44	16

Last Meetings

11/09/2025

FC Metz
OGC Nice

2-1

01/27/2024

OGC Nice
FC Metz

1-0

10/07/2023

FC Metz
OGC Nice

0-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ OGC Nice ■ FC Metz

OGC Nice vs FC Metz: Our AI-Powered Tip for the Ligue 1

At the foot of the Ligue 1 table, the margins between safety and danger are razor thin — and so is the line between a good bet and a great one. Our model settles on OGC Nice to win and inject some much-needed optimism into their season as the most probable outcome at 44%, odds 4/11 at Velobet. In such an unpredictable environment, the Double Chance 12 at 73% is an excellent hedge. Our best value tip for this survival six-pointer is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 54% probability, odds 25/18 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals25/18Place betT&C's apply | +18