Premier LeagueMatchday 33 · · St. James' Park

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League Matchday 33

at – Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth at St. James' Park. Matchday 33 of the Premier League is here. Our betting tip is grounded in current form, statistical probability and a detailed head-to-head breakdown.
Newcastle United LogoNewcastle United14LLWWL
·
AFC Bournemouth LogoAFC Bournemouth11WDDDD
1X2101/100CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X247/16RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X263/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 3.5 GoalsProbability67% 5/7 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

On , the Premier League matchday 33 brings Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth together at St. James' Park — kick-off at . The hosts currently sit 14. in the table, having suffered a defeat in their last outing 2 - 1 against Crystal Palace. Their last game against Arsenal London ended 1 - 2. Our AI-powered model arrives at a 40% probability for Newcastle United to secure a home win.

Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 33 of the Premier League

Three-Way BetNewcastle United101/100101/100·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals1/21/2·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 3.5 Goals5/75/7·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetNewcastle United 40% · X 25% · AFC Bournemouth 35%Newcastle UnitedXAFC BournemouthBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 59% · No 41%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%OverUnderCorrect Score1-112%2-19%1-28%

Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth: who will win?

Newcastle United
X
AFC Bournemouth
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Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth on : Full Odds Comparison for the Premier League Clash at St. James' Park

 ProbabilityNewcastle United40%Draw25%AFC Bournemouth35%Cosmobet101/10026/931/12Odd last updated:JettBet10/1131/1028/11Odd last updated:Velobet19/2011/412/5Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

Newcastle United Form
Last 5 games
LLWWL
The most recent game for Newcastle United saw them take on Crystal Palace, with the match ending 2 - 1. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Premier League fixture at St. James' Park on looking to build on recent performances.
The last 6 months have seen Newcastle United play 25 competitive matches, winning 10 and losing 12. Of their 12 home games during this stretch, they have won 6 and lost 4. They have scored 39 goals at home and away combined, conceding 42.
Looking at Newcastle United's recent run of 25 games, they have netted 39 goals at a rate of 1.56 per game. Defensively, they have let in 42 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Newcastle United have won 6 and lost 4 of their 12 home games in this stretch.
AFC Bournemouth Form
Last 5 games
WDDDD
The last outing for AFC Bournemouth was against Arsenal London — a match they won 1 - 2. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.
The last 6 months have seen AFC Bournemouth play 25 competitive matches, winning 6 and losing 6. Of their 13 away games during this stretch, they have won 3 and lost 4. They have scored 37 goals home and away combined, conceding 41.
In their last 25 games, AFC Bournemouth have scored a total of 37 goals — an average of 1.48 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 41 goals, giving them an average of 1.64 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 3 wins from 13 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Newcastle United AFC Bournemouth
Goals scored
1.3
1.3
Corners
6.4
5.1
Fouls
11
10.8
Saves
3.4
3.2
Premier League

Premier League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Arsenal London Logo Arsenal London323870
2Manchester City Logo Manchester City313564
3Manchester United Logo Manchester United311355
· · · 6 places · · ·
10Sunderland A.F.C. Logo Sunderland A.F.C.32-346
11AFC Bournemouth Logo AFC Bournemouth Away32-145
12Fulham FC Logo Fulham FC32-344
13Crystal Palace Logo Crystal Palace31-142
14Newcastle United Logo Newcastle United Home32-242
15Leeds United Logo Leeds United31-1133
Last Meetings
09/21/2025
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
0-0
01/18/2025
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
1-4
08/25/2024
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
1-1
02/17/2024
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Newcastle United ■ AFC Bournemouth

What Does Our Statistical Model Back? The Best Tip for Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth

Our prediction for this Premier League fixture points to a home win for Newcastle United, with the best available odds of 101/100 at Cosmobet. The probability for this outcome stands at 40%. Based on our full statistical analysis, our best bet for this match is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" — with a probability of 67% and the best odds of 5/7 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 3.5 Goals5/7Place betT&C's apply | +18