At on , Etihad Stadium hosts the standout fixture of Premier League matchday 9 — Manchester City against Brighton & Hove Albion. The hosts (1.) suffered a rare defeat last time out against Aston Villa (2 - 1), while Brighton & Hove Albion (3.) lost 2 - 0. In the last 6 months, Manchester City have won 3 of their 4 home games — a record that gives them real confidence here. Our model arrives at a 46% probability for Manchester City to come out on top in this elite encounter.
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds
Three-Way BetManchester City46%9/13·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals73%9/20·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals53%6/5·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way BetManchester City 46% · X 22% · Brighton & Hove Albion 32%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 72% · No 28%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 73% · Under 27%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 53% · Under 47%Correct Score0-111%0-29%2-18%
Who will win the match?
X
Top odds for the Premier League match Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion
ProbabilityManchester City46%Draw22%Brighton & Hove Albion32%
31/4717/541/12Odd last updated:
2/316/510/3Odd last updated:
11/1731/107/2Odd last updated:
31/4717/541/12Odd last updated:
2/316/510/3Odd last updated:11/1731/107/2Odd last updated:Direct comparison (h2h) of Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City Form
Last 5 games
LWWLD
The last outing for Manchester City was against Aston Villa – a match they lost 2 - 1. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
The last 6 months have seen Manchester City play 8 competitive matches, winning 4 and losing 2. Of their 4 home games during this stretch, they have won 3 and lost 1. They have scored 18 goals at home and away combined, conceding 10.
A closer look at Manchester City's last 8 games reveals a side that has scored 18 goals and conceded 10. Their home performances stand out: 3 wins from 4 home fixtures, with 1 defeats — averaging 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game.
Brighton & Hove Albion Form
Last 5 games
LWWLL
On the previous matchday, Brighton & Hove Albion went up against Liverpool FC and suffered a defeat at 2 - 0. The result means there is added pressure to deliver a positive result at Etihad Stadium.
The last 6 months have seen Brighton & Hove Albion play 7 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 4. Of their 4 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 3. They have scored 11 goals home and away combined, conceding 9.
Over their last 7 matches, Brighton & Hove Albion have found the net 11 times — that's 1.57 goals per game on average. They have conceded 9 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 1 wins and 3 defeats from 4 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Premier League
Premier League Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City Home | 8 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal London | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion Away | 8 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Liverpool FC | 8 | 3 | 15 |
Last Meetings
01/07/2026
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
08/31/2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
Manchester City
2-1
03/15/2025
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-2
11/09/2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
Manchester City
2-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Manchester City
■ Brighton & Hove Albion
