Two Premier League sides meet on at Vitality Stadium — AFC Bournemouth (position 13) against Leeds United (position 7). The home side claimed the win last time out against Manchester United (0 - 3) and have kept 2 wins at home so far this season. The away side drew 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C. and are averaging goals per game on their travels. Our probabilistic model puts a AFC Bournemouth home win at 56%.
The Best Bets for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United on
Three-Way BetAFC Bournemouth56%6/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals52%1/1·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals52%1/1·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetAFC Bournemouth 56% · X 24% · Leeds United 20%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%Correct Score0-074%1-013%2-011%
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: who will win?

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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers
ProbabilityAFC Bournemouth56%Draw24%Leeds United20%
23/2019/832/13Odd last updated:
11/1012/512/5Odd last updated:
6/512/59/4Odd last updated:
23/2019/832/13Odd last updated:
11/1012/512/5Odd last updated:
6/512/59/4Odd last updated:AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form
AFC Bournemouth Form
Last 5 games
WWLDD
On the previous matchday, AFC Bournemouth went up against Manchester United and came away with all three points at 0 - 3. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
AFC Bournemouth's most recent 7 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 12 goals (1.71 per game) while conceding 7 (1 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, AFC Bournemouth have won 2, drawn 1 and lost of their 3 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
A closer look at AFC Bournemouth's last 7 games reveals a side that has scored 12 goals and conceded 7. Their home performances stand out: 2 wins from 3 home fixtures, with defeats — averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Leeds United Form
Last 5 games
DDLLW
Leeds United's last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C. — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. They travel to Vitality Stadium for this Premier League fixture on .
In the last 6 months, Leeds United have played 7 games, winning 2 of them. Their away record in that period reads wins and 2 defeats from 4 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 7 goals while conceding 8 – a defensive average of 1.14 per game.
Over their last 7 matches, Leeds United have found the net 7 times — that's 1 goals per game on average. They have conceded 8 goals in the same span, with their away form showing wins and 2 defeats from 4 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Premier League
Premier League Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal London | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 8 | 16 | 16 |
| · · · 2 places · · · | ||||
| 6 | Brentford FC | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds United Away | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 12 | Ipswich Town F.C. | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth Home | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
Last Meetings
04/22/2026
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
Leeds United
2-2
09/27/2025
Leeds United
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ AFC Bournemouth
■ Leeds United


Manchester City
Arsenal London
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford FC
Newcastle United
Ipswich Town F.C.
Tottenham Hotspur





