Premier LeagueMatchday 9 · · Vitality Stadium

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Best Odds & AI Betting Tip for the Premier League Clash at Vitality Stadium

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United at Vitality Stadium — find the best betting tips, current odds and our AI-driven prediction for this Premier League match on . Backed by stats, form data and head-to-head analysis.
AFC Bournemouth LogoAFC Bournemouth13WWLDD
·
Leeds United LogoLeeds United7DDLLW
1X26/5ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X229/12RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X29/4ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability52% 1/1 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Two Premier League sides meet on at Vitality Stadium — AFC Bournemouth (position 13) against Leeds United (position 7). The home side claimed the win last time out against Manchester United (0 - 3) and have kept 2 wins at home so far this season. The away side drew 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C. and are averaging goals per game on their travels. Our probabilistic model puts a AFC Bournemouth home win at 56%.

The Best Bets for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United on

Three-Way BetAFC Bournemouth56%6/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals52%1/1·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals52%1/1·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetAFC Bournemouth 56% · X 24% · Leeds United 20%AFC BournemouthXLeeds UnitedBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%OverUnderCorrect Score0-074%1-013%2-011%

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: who will win?

AFC Bournemouth
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Leeds United
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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

 ProbabilityAFC Bournemouth56%Draw24%Leeds United20%Cosmobet23/2019/832/13Odd last updated:Velobet11/1012/512/5Odd last updated:Zizobet6/512/59/4Odd last updated:

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form

AFC Bournemouth Form
Last 5 games
WWLDD
On the previous matchday, AFC Bournemouth went up against Manchester United and came away with all three points at 0 - 3. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
AFC Bournemouth's most recent 7 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 12 goals (1.71 per game) while conceding 7 (1 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, AFC Bournemouth have won 2, drawn 1 and lost of their 3 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
A closer look at AFC Bournemouth's last 7 games reveals a side that has scored 12 goals and conceded 7. Their home performances stand out: 2 wins from 3 home fixtures, with defeats — averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Leeds United Form
Last 5 games
DDLLW
Leeds United's last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C. — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. They travel to Vitality Stadium for this Premier League fixture on .
In the last 6 months, Leeds United have played 7 games, winning 2 of them. Their away record in that period reads wins and 2 defeats from 4 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 7 goals while conceding 8 – a defensive average of 1.14 per game.
Over their last 7 matches, Leeds United have found the net 7 times — that's 1 goals per game on average. They have conceded 8 goals in the same span, with their away form showing wins and 2 defeats from 4 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
AFC Bournemouth Leeds United
Goals scored
1.8
1.4
Corners
5.1
3.8
Fouls
13.6
12
Saves
1.8
3.4
Premier League

Premier League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Manchester City Logo Manchester City81121
2Arsenal London Logo Arsenal London8821
3Brighton & Hove Albion Logo Brighton & Hove Albion81616
· · · 2 places · · ·
6Brentford FC Logo Brentford FC8511
7Leeds United Logo Leeds United Away8311
8Newcastle United Logo Newcastle United8-211
· · · 3 places · · ·
12Ipswich Town F.C. Logo Ipswich Town F.C.8-410
13AFC Bournemouth Logo AFC Bournemouth Home8-19
14Tottenham Hotspur Logo Tottenham Hotspur8-29
Last Meetings
04/22/2026
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
2-2
09/27/2025
Leeds United
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ AFC Bournemouth ■ Leeds United

The AI Verdict: Our Best Tip for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United

Crunching the numbers for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United, our model identifies a AFC Bournemouth home win as the most probable outcome at 56%, with top odds of 6/5 available at Zizobet. Factoring in all bet markets, our AI pick is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — odds of 1/1 at Zizobet and a 52% probability.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals1/1Place betT&C's apply | +18