ChampionshipMatchday 40 · · Riverside Stadium

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Middlesbrough F.C. vs Millwall F.C. — Championship Matchday 40

Two of the Championship's finest go head-to-head on at Riverside Stadium at in what promises to be the standout fixture of matchday 40. Get our full statistical preview and best betting tips right here.
Middlesbrough F.C. LogoMiddlesbrough F.C.2DDLWW
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Millwall F.C. LogoMillwall F.C.4DLWWW
1X27/9ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X241/14CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X267/20CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipDouble Chance X2Probability61% 21/20 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

The biggest game of matchday 40 in the Championship is here. Middlesbrough F.C. (2.) host Millwall F.C. (4.) at Riverside Stadium on at . The hosts drew their last fixture 0 - 0 against Blackburn Rovers FC and have won 15 of their last 32 games — determined to bounce back against a formidable opponent. Millwall F.C. drew 1 - 1 against Ipswich Town F.C. last time out. Despite the quality on both sides, our model gives a 39% probability to Middlesbrough F.C. making home advantage the decisive factor.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Middlesbrough F.C. vs Millwall F.C. with Current Odds

Three-Way BetMiddlesbrough F.C.7/97/9·JettBetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals6/56/5·VelobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X221/2021/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetMiddlesbrough F.C. 39% · X 27% · Millwall F.C. 34%Middlesbrough F.C.XMillwall F.C.Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 51% · No 49%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-011%0-110%

The Best Bookmaker Odds for Middlesbrough F.C. vs Millwall F.C. – Side by Side

 ProbabilityMiddlesbrough F.C.39%Draw27%Millwall F.C.34%Cosmobet19/2541/1467/20Odd last updated:JettBet7/927/103/1Odd last updated:Velobet3/429/1016/5Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

Middlesbrough F.C. Form
Last 5 games
DDLWW
Middlesbrough F.C.'s last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Blackburn Rovers FC — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at Riverside Stadium on .
The last 6 months have seen Middlesbrough F.C. play 32 competitive matches, winning 15 and losing 8. Of their 16 home games during this stretch, they have won 7 and lost 3. They have scored 47 goals at home and away combined, conceding 32.
A closer look at Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 32 games reveals a side that has scored 47 goals and conceded 32. Their home performances stand out: 7 wins from 16 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Millwall F.C. Form
Last 5 games
DLWWW
On the previous matchday, Millwall F.C. went up against Ipswich Town F.C. and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head to Riverside Stadium looking to find a winner away from home.
The last 6 months have seen Millwall F.C. play 32 competitive matches, winning 17 and losing 8. Of their 15 away games during this stretch, they have won 7 and lost 4. They have scored 47 goals home and away combined, conceding 36.
Over their last 32 matches, Millwall F.C. have found the net 47 times — that's 1.47 goals per game on average. They have conceded 36 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 7 wins and 4 defeats from 15 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Middlesbrough F.C. Millwall F.C.
Goals scored
1.3
1.7
Corners
6.9
6.3
Fouls
9.7
10.7
Saves
2.4
2.8
Championship

Championship Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Coventry City F.C. Logo Coventry City F.C.394180
2Middlesbrough F.C. Logo Middlesbrough F.C. Home392271
3Ipswich Town F.C. Logo Ipswich Town F.C.382869
4Millwall F.C. Logo Millwall F.C. Away39969
5Hull City A.F.C. Logo Hull City A.F.C.39566
Last Meetings
08/16/2025
Millwall F.C.
Middlesbrough F.C.
0-3
04/12/2025
Millwall F.C.
Middlesbrough F.C.
1-0
12/14/2024
Middlesbrough F.C.
Millwall F.C.
1-0
01/13/2024
Millwall F.C.
Middlesbrough F.C.
1-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Middlesbrough F.C. ■ Millwall F.C.

AI-Powered Tip for the Top-of-the-Table Clash Between Middlesbrough F.C. and Millwall F.C.

Two elite sides, one winner — and our model knows where the value lies. For this Championship top-of-the-table encounter, we identify Middlesbrough F.C. to come out on top and keep their Championship campaign on track as the most likely outcome at 39%, odds 7/9 at JettBet. The Double Chance 12 at 73% remains an intelligent cover option at this level. Our number one bet for this top-flight clash is "Double Chance" — 61% probability, odds 21/20 at Palmslots.Best Tip Double Chance X221/20Place betT&C's apply | +18