ChampionshipMatchday 13 · · The Den

Our Best Betting Tips for Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. on Matchday 13

Derby County F.C. travel to The Den for matchday 13 of the Championship, where they face Millwall F.C. on . Our statistical model crunches the numbers so you don't have to — get the full preview and best betting tip here.
Millwall F.C. LogoMillwall F.C.13LDLWW
·
Derby County F.C. LogoDerby County F.C.23DLLDL
1X28/11VelobetT&C's apply | +18
1X263/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X27/2RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability60% 1/1 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

On , the Championship matchday 13 brings Millwall F.C. and Derby County F.C. together at The Den — kick-off at . The hosts currently sit 13. in the table, having suffered a defeat in their last outing 2 - 1 against Portsmouth F.C.. Their last game against Sheffield United ended 1 - 1. Our AI-powered model arrives at a 43% probability for Millwall F.C. to secure a home win.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.

Three-Way BetMillwall F.C.43%8/11·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals60%1/1·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals60%1/1·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetMillwall F.C. 43% · X 28% · Derby County F.C. 29%Millwall F.C.XDerby County F.C.Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 46% · No 54%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%OverUnderCorrect Score1-013%1-113%0-211%

Millwall F.C., Derby County F.C. or draw? Vote now!

Millwall F.C.
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Derby County F.C.
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Full Odds Comparison for the Championship Clash at The Den

 ProbabilityMillwall F.C.43%Draw28%Derby County F.C.29%Cosmobet2/341/1463/16Odd last updated:Velobet8/1114/518/5Odd last updated:Zizobet7/1027/1010/3Odd last updated:

Direct comparison (h2h) of Millwall F.C. and Derby County F.C.

Millwall F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LDLWW
The last outing for Millwall F.C. was against Portsmouth F.C. – a match they lost 2 - 1. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
The last 6 months have seen Millwall F.C. play 5 competitive matches, winning 2 and losing 2. Of their 3 home games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 1. They have scored 6 goals at home and away combined, conceding 5.
In their last 5 games, Millwall F.C. have scored a total of 6 goals – an average of 1.2 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 5 goals, giving them an average of 1 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 1 wins from 3 games.
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
DLLDL
The most recent game for Derby County F.C. saw them take on Sheffield United, with the match ending 1 - 1. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better on their travels. They now make the trip to The Den for this Championship clash.
Derby County F.C.'s form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 games. Away from home, they have won of 2 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 5 on the road.
Looking at Derby County F.C.'s recent run of 5 games, they have netted 4 goals at a rate of 0.8 per game. Defensively, they have let in 9 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Derby County F.C. have won and lost 1 of their 2 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Millwall F.C. Derby County F.C.
Goals scored
1.3
1.2
Corners
7.4
4.4
Fouls
11
12.6
Saves
1.4
3.4
Championship

Championship Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Middlesbrough F.C. Logo Middlesbrough F.C.121025
2Swansea City A.F.C. Logo Swansea City A.F.C.12323
3West Ham United121722
· · · 8 places · · ·
12Sheffield United Logo Sheffield United12116
13Millwall F.C. Logo Millwall F.C. Home12-115
14Bristol City Logo Bristol City12-315
· · · 7 places · · ·
22Burnley F.C.12-88
23Derby County F.C. Logo Derby County F.C. Away12-117
24Preston North End F.C. Logo Preston North End F.C.12-155
Last Meetings
03/10/2026
Millwall F.C.
Derby County F.C.
1-0
12/10/2025
Derby County F.C.
Millwall F.C.
1-1
02/22/2025
Derby County F.C.
Millwall F.C.
0-1
10/19/2024
Millwall F.C.
Derby County F.C.
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Millwall F.C. ■ Derby County F.C.

The AI Verdict: Our Best Tip for Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.

Our prediction for this Championship fixture points to a home win for Millwall F.C., with the best available odds of 8/11 at Velobet. The probability for this outcome stands at 43%. Based on our full statistical analysis, our best bet for this match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — with a probability of 60% and the best odds of 1/1 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals1/1Place betT&C's apply | +18