Süper LigMatchday 32 · · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Kasımpaşa SK vs Kocaelispor — Süper Lig Matchday 32

Matchday 32 of the Süper Lig — the highest level of football in the association — brings Kasımpaşa SK (13.) face-to-face with Kocaelispor (11.) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu on . Our AI-driven analysis, current form breakdown and best bookmaker odds give you every angle covered.
Kasımpaşa SK LogoKasımpaşa SK13LWDWL
·
Kocaelispor LogoKocaelispor11LDDDL
1X26/5ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X243/20PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X223/10RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability65% 5/8 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

The Süper Lig is the pinnacle of the game in its association — and matchday 32 delivers a fixture worthy of that billing. Kasımpaşa SK (13.) host Kocaelispor (11.) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu on at . The hosts lost their last outing 4 - 0 against İstanbul Başakşehir and have won 4 of their last 20 games — determined to show they belong at this level with a strong home performance. Kocaelispor lost 1 - 0 against Gençlerbirliği Ankara last time out. Our statistical model gives a 38% probability to Kasımpaşa SK claiming a home win on the top-flight stage.

Betting Tips and Odds for Kasımpaşa SK vs Kocaelispor – All in One Place

Three-Way BetKasımpaşa SK38%13/10·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals65%5/8·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals65%5/8·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetKasımpaşa SK 38% · X 30% · Kocaelispor 32%Kasımpaşa SKXKocaelisporBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 42% · No 58%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 35% · Under 65%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 16% · Under 84%OverUnderCorrect Score1-013%1-113%0-112%

Who will win Kasımpaşa SK vs Kocaelispor?

Kasımpaşa SK
X
Kocaelispor
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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

 ProbabilityKasımpaşa SK38%Draw30%Kocaelispor32%Cosmobet13/1023/1117/7Odd last updated:Velobet13/1021/1021/10Odd last updated:Zizobet6/521/1023/10Odd last updated:

Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope

Kasımpaşa SK Form
Last 5 games
LWDWL
On the previous matchday, Kasımpaşa SK went up against İstanbul Başakşehir and suffered a defeat at 4 - 0. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.
Looking at the past 6 months, Kasımpaşa SK have taken 4 wins from 20 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 3 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 0.95 and conceded 1.65 goals per game.
Over their last 20 matches, Kasımpaşa SK have found the net 19 times — that's 0.95 goals per game on average. They have conceded 33 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 3 wins and 4 defeats from 9 home fixtures.
Kocaelispor Form
Last 5 games
LDDDL
The last outing for Kocaelispor was against Gençlerbirliği Ankara — a match they lost 1 - 0. A defeat they will be eager to put right when they travel to Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu.
The last 6 months have seen Kocaelispor play 21 competitive matches, winning 6 and losing 8. Of their 10 away games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 4. They have scored 15 goals home and away combined, conceding 21.
In their last 21 games, Kocaelispor have scored a total of 15 goals — an average of 0.71 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 21 goals, giving them an average of 1 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 2 wins from 10 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Kasımpaşa SK Kocaelispor
Goals scored
1.3
0.7
Corners
2.9
3.8
Fouls
15.4
16.1
Saves
3.1
2.6
Süper Lig

Süper Lig Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Galatasaray Istanbul Logo Galatasaray Istanbul314974
2Fenerbahçe SK Logo Fenerbahçe SK313567
3Trabzonspor Logo Trabzonspor302565
· · · 6 places · · ·
10Gazişehir Gaziantep Logo Gazişehir Gaziantep31-1137
11Kocaelispor Logo Kocaelispor Away31-1036
12Alanyaspor Logo Alanyaspor31-133
13Kasımpaşa SK Logo Kasımpaşa SK Home31-1631
14Gençlerbirliği Ankara Logo Gençlerbirliği Ankara31-1428
Last Meetings
12/07/2025
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa SK
0-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Kasımpaşa SK ■ Kocaelispor

Betting Tip from Our Statistical Model for the Derby Between Kasımpaşa SK and Kocaelispor

The Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu derby in the Süper Lig is full of passion — but our analysis keeps the focus firmly on the numbers. Based on current form, goal records and league position, we rate Kasımpaşa SK to claim derby glory on home soil at 38%, odds 13/10 at Velobet. Our best tip for this derby, weighing value and probability across all markets, is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 65% probability, odds 5/8 at Palmslots.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals5/8Place betT&C's apply | +18