When Burnley FC and Manchester City meet, the Premier League table becomes secondary. Yet the numbers still paint an interesting picture ahead of this matchday 34 derby at Turf Moor on . Burnley FC (19.) come into this one having won 2 of their last 25 games — their last result was 4 - 1 against Nottingham Forest. Manchester City (2.) won 2 - 1 most recently. Despite the unpredictability that derbies bring, our AI model puts the probability of Manchester City silencing the home crowd with an away win at 64%.
Best Odds and Betting Tips for the Premier League Clash at Turf Moor
Three-Way BetManchester City64%5/21·JettBetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals58%4/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipBurnley FC +1.5 Goals60%15/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts
Three-Way BetBurnley FC 16% · X 20% · Manchester City 64%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 52% · No 48%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 58% · Under 42%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 35% · Under 65%Correct Score0-211%0-110%1-210%
Who will win the match?
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Full Odds Comparison for the Premier League Clash at Turf Moor
ProbabilityBurnley FC16%Draw20%Manchester City64%
243/16213/251/7Odd last updated:
21/259/105/21Odd last updated:
17/18/11/7Odd last updated:
243/16213/251/7Odd last updated:21/259/105/21Odd last updated:17/18/11/7Odd last updated:Burnley FC vs Manchester City: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form
Burnley FC Form
Last 5 games
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The most recent game for Burnley FC saw them take on Nottingham Forest, with the match ending 4 - 1. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Premier League fixture at Turf Moor on looking to build on recent performances.
Over the past 6 months, Burnley FC have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 16 of their 25 games. At home they have picked up wins from 12 fixtures, losing 8. They have scored 25 goals in total during this period – an average of 1 per game.
In their last 25 games, Burnley FC have scored a total of 25 goals – an average of 1 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 52 goals, giving them an average of 2.08 against per game. Their home record in that period shows wins from 12 games.
Manchester City Form
Last 5 games
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The most recent game for Manchester City saw them take on Arsenal London, with the match ending 2 - 1. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to Turf Moor. They now make the trip to Turf Moor for this Premier League clash.
The last 6 months have seen Manchester City play 24 competitive matches, winning 15 and losing 3. Of their 12 away games during this stretch, they have won 6 and lost 3. They have scored 48 goals home and away combined, conceding 23.
Looking at Manchester City's recent run of 24 games, they have netted 48 goals at a rate of 2 per game. Defensively, they have let in 23 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Manchester City have won 6 and lost 3 of their 12 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Burnley FC
Manchester City
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Premier League
Premier League Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal London | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| 2 | Manchester City Away | 32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 13 | 58 |
| · · · 14 places · · · | ||||
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 19 | Burnley FC Home | 33 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 33 | -37 | 17 |
Last Meetings
09/27/2025
Manchester City
Burnley FC
Burnley FC
5-1
01/31/2024
Manchester City
Burnley FC
Burnley FC
3-1
08/11/2023
Burnley FC
Manchester City
Manchester City
0-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Burnley FC
■ Manchester City
