Ligue 1Matchday 28 · · Stade Louis II

The Best Betting Tips for AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille at a Glance

Top-level Ligue 1 action arrives on as AS Monaco open their doors at Stade Louis II to rivals Olympique Marseille. Positions 6 and 3 in the table do battle in matchday 28 - our AI-powered statistical analysis, probability-based prediction and best odds on the market are all right here.
AS Monaco LogoAS Monaco6WWWWW
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Olympique Marseille LogoOlympique Marseille3LWWWL
1X219/16ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X25/2ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X29/5VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 2.5 GoalsProbability64% 7/12 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

The Ligue 1 is the pinnacle of the game in its association — and matchday 28 delivers a fixture worthy of that billing. AS Monaco (6.) host Olympique Marseille (3.) at Stade Louis II on at . The hosts won their last outing 1 - 2 against Olympique Lyonnais and have won 10 of their last 21 games — determined to show they belong at this level with a strong home performance. Olympique Marseille lost 1 - 2 against Lille OSC last time out. Our statistical model gives a 45% probability to AS Monaco claiming a home win on the top-flight stage.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille with Current Odds

Three-Way BetAS Monaco19/1619/16·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals7/127/12·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals7/127/12·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetAS Monaco 45% · X 23% · Olympique Marseille 32%AS MonacoXOlympique MarseilleBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 65% · No 35%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 64% · Under 36%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 42% · Under 58%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-19%2-27%

Current odds for AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille

 ProbabilityAS Monaco45%Draw23%Olympique Marseille32%Cosmobet19/1659/2241/18Odd last updated:JettBet10/927/1011/5Odd last updated:Velobet11/1027/1023/10Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

AS Monaco Form
Last 5 games
WWWWW
AS Monaco's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against Olympique Lyonnais — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Stade Louis II on .
AS Monaco's most recent 21 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 33 goals (1.57 per game) while conceding 28 (1.33 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, AS Monaco have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their 11 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
In their last 21 games, AS Monaco have scored a total of 33 goals – an average of 1.57 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 28 goals, giving them an average of 1.33 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 6 wins from 11 games.
Olympique Marseille Form
Last 5 games
LWWWL
Olympique Marseille's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against Lille OSC — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Stade Louis II for this Ligue 1 fixture on .
Over the past 6 months, Olympique Marseille have won 11, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their 21 games. Away from home they have picked up 5 wins from 10 fixtures, losing 4. They have scored 42 goals in total during this period – an average of 2 per game.
Over their last 21 matches, Olympique Marseille have found the net 42 times — that's 2 goals per game on average. They have conceded 30 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 5 wins and 4 defeats from 10 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
AS Monaco Olympique Marseille
Goals scored
2
1.8
Corners
4.8
4
Fouls
12.6
13.1
Saves
2.2
2.3
Ligue 1

Ligue 1 Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Paris Saint Germain Logo Paris Saint Germain263660
2RC Lens Logo RC Lens273059
3Olympique Marseille Logo Olympique Marseille Away271949
4Olympique Lyonnais Logo Olympique Lyonnais271247
5Lille OSC Logo Lille OSC27847
6AS Monaco Logo AS Monaco Home27946
7Stade Rennais Logo Stade Rennais27644
Last Meetings
12/14/2025
Olympique Marseille
AS Monaco
1-0
04/12/2025
AS Monaco
Olympique Marseille
3-0
12/01/2024
Olympique Marseille
AS Monaco
2-1
01/27/2024
Olympique Marseille
AS Monaco
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ AS Monaco ■ Olympique Marseille

AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip

What does the data say about AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille? Our model is clear: AS Monaco to take the win in front of their home crowd is the most likely outcome – 45% probability, best odds 19/16 at Cosmobet. Our standout pick across all bet markets is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" – 64% probability and odds of 7/12 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals7/12Place betT&C's apply | +18