When the Primeira Liga reaches matchday 28, the quality on show is at its peak — and Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on is no exception. Vitoria Guimarães (9.) have kept 5 wins at home this season, scoring 14 and conceding 14 on their own patch. CD Tondela (17.) shared the spoils against AVS Futebol SAD (0 - 0), having won 3 of their last 19 games. Our data-driven model gives a 39% probability to Vitoria Guimarães winning this top-flight home fixture at 39%.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 28 of the Primeira Liga
Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães19/2519/25·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals3/43/4·VelobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X221/2021/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães 39% · X 28% · CD Tondela 33%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 47% · No 53%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%Correct Score1-113%1-012%0-111%
Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 28
ProbabilityVitoria Guimarães39%Draw28%CD Tondela33%
3/445/1781/20Odd last updated:
19/2528/1133/10Odd last updated:
3/45/218/5Odd last updated:
3/445/1781/20Odd last updated:19/2528/1133/10Odd last updated:3/45/218/5Odd last updated:Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form
Vitoria Guimarães Form
Last 5 games
LLLDL
Vitoria Guimarães most recently faced Benfica Lisbon, losing the match 3 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.
The last 6 months have seen Vitoria Guimarães play 20 competitive matches, winning 7 and losing 10. Of their 11 home games during this stretch, they have won 5 and lost 4. They have scored 22 goals at home and away combined, conceding 31.
Over their last 20 matches, Vitoria Guimarães have found the net 22 times — that's 1.1 goals per game on average. They have conceded 31 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 5 wins and 4 defeats from 11 home fixtures.
CD Tondela Form
Last 5 games
DLDWD
The most recent game for CD Tondela saw them take on AVS Futebol SAD, with the match ending 0 - 0. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better on their travels. They now make the trip to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques for this Primeira Liga clash.
Looking at the past 6 months, CD Tondela have taken 3 wins from 19 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Their away games during this period have produced 2 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 0.79 and conceded 1.47 goals per game.
CD Tondela's most recent 19 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 15 goals (0.79 per game) while conceding 28 (1.47 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, CD Tondela have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their 8 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques.
Stats per Game
Vitoria Guimarães CD Tondela
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 26 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 |  Benfica Lisbon | 27 | 41 | 65 |
| · · · 4 places · · · | ||||
| 8 |  Moreirense FC | 27 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |  Vitoria Guimarães Home | 27 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |  Rio Ave FC | 27 | -18 | 30 |
| · · · 5 places · · · | ||||
| 16 |  Nacional Madeira | 27 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |  CD Tondela Away | 26 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |  AVS Futebol SAD | 27 | -40 | 11 |
Last Meetings
11/08/2025
CD Tondela
Vitoria Guimarães
Vitoria Guimarães
0-1
09/09/2023
Vitoria Guimarães
CD Tondela
CD Tondela
0-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Vitoria Guimarães ■ CD Tondela