Primeira LigaMatchday 10 · · Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP on : AI Prediction, Stats & Top Odds

When the Primeira Liga reaches matchday 10, the quality on show is at its peak. Casa Pia vs Sporting CP at Estádio Pina Manique on at is a fixture with real weight. After Sporting CP's last outing — a 1 - 2 against Academico Viseu — our prediction engine assesses who has the upper hand.
Casa Pia LogoCasa Pia16WLWDD
·
Sporting CP LogoSporting CP3LWWWD
1X241/5RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X25/1ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X26/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipCasa Pia +1.5 GoalsProbability73% 23/20 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

It is the fixture that gets Estádio Pina Manique talking — Casa Pia vs Sporting CP on in the Primeira Liga. Both sets of supporters know what this match means, and both squads will feel the weight of expectation. Casa Pia (16.) enter the derby having won their last game 0 - 2 against C.F. Estrela da Amadora and have scored goals at home this season. Sporting CP (3.) have won 1 of their last 1 away games. Factoring in all the data, our AI model sees the high stakes of the occasion leading to a hard-fought draw — probability: 51%.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP with Current Odds

Three-Way BetSporting CP51%6/23·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals53%1/2·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipCasa Pia +1.5 Goals73%23/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetCasa Pia 25% · X 24% · Sporting CP 51%Casa PiaXSporting CPBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 55% · No 45%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 53% · Under 47%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 31% · Under 69%OverUnderCorrect Score0-011%0-311%1-111%

Casa Pia, Sporting CP or draw? Vote now!

Casa Pia
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Sporting CP
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Best Casa Pia vs Sporting CP pre-match odds

 ProbabilityCasa Pia25%Draw24%Sporting CP51%Cosmobet101/10101/183/13Odd last updated:Velobet11/15/12/9Odd last updated:Zizobet10/15/12/9Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
WLWDD
Casa Pia's last competitive outing ended 0 - 2 against C.F. Estrela da Amadora — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Estádio Pina Manique on .
The last 6 months have seen Casa Pia play 7 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 2. Of their 4 home games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 2. They have scored 6 goals at home and away combined, conceding 3.
Looking at Casa Pia's recent run of 7 games, they have netted 6 goals at a rate of 0.86 per game. Defensively, they have let in 3 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Casa Pia have won 1 and lost 2 of their 4 home games in this stretch.
Sporting CP Form
Last 5 games
LWWWD
Sporting CP's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against Academico Viseu — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Estádio Pina Manique for this Primeira Liga fixture on .
In the last 6 months, Sporting CP have played 4 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and defeats from 1 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 13 goals while conceding 4 – a defensive average of 1 per game.
In their last 4 games, Sporting CP have scored a total of 13 goals — an average of 3.25 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 4 goals, giving them an average of 1 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 1 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Casa Pia Sporting CP
Goals scored
0.7
2.6
Corners
4.5
6
Fouls
15.1
11.3
Saves
2.4
2.4
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto91727
2Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon81719
3Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP Away91018
4CD Santa Clara Logo CD Santa Clara8818
· · · 10 places · · ·
15Nacional Madeira Logo Nacional Madeira9-87
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia Home9-127
17Rio Ave FC Logo Rio Ave FC9-137
Last Meetings
01/16/2026
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
3-0
08/08/2025
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0-2
03/09/2025
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
1-3
10/05/2024
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
2-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Casa Pia ■ Sporting CP

AI-Powered Tip for the Derby Between Casa Pia and Sporting CP

The contrast between Casa Pia and Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga this season could hardly be greater. One sits at 16. with wins and goals scored, the other at 3. with wins and goals. The numbers are unambiguous. Our model gives Sporting CP a slim but real chance of the upset — desperate teams can be dangerous opponents at 51%, odds 6/23 at Rollino. Our top tip for this lopsided fixture is "Handicap 1.5" — 73% probability, odds 23/20 at Zizobet.Best Tip Casa Pia +1.5 Goals23/20Place betT&C's apply | +18