Top-flight football in the Primeira Liga doesn't get much more compelling than this. Vitoria Guimarães (7.) welcome Casa Pia (16.) to Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques on at in matchday 33 of the season. Vitoria Guimarães have scored goals this season at an average of per game and lost their last fixture 5 - 1 against Sporting CP. Casa Pia (16.) suffered a setback against CD Tondela (0 - 1), having won 3 of their last 22 games. Our model gives a 56% probability to Vitoria Guimarães winning this top-flight showdown at 56%.
Primeira Liga Matchday 33: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview
Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães8/118/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals13/1413/14·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals13/1413/14·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis
Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães 56% · X 24% · Casa Pia 20%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%Correct Score1-013%1-111%2-011%
Best Vitoria Guimarães vs Casa Pia pre-match odds
ProbabilityVitoria Guimarães56%Draw24%Casa Pia20%
5/779/25167/50
7/1014/515/4Odd last updated:
8/1114/57/2Odd last updated:
7/1014/518/5Odd last updated:
5/779/25167/50
7/1014/515/4Odd last updated:8/1114/57/2Odd last updated:7/1014/518/5Odd last updated:Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared
Vitoria Guimarães Form
Last 5 games
LWWDW
The most recent game for Vitoria Guimarães saw them take on Sporting CP, with the match ending 5 - 1. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Primeira Liga fixture at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques on looking to build on recent performances.
The last 6 months have seen Vitoria Guimarães play 22 competitive matches, winning 9 and losing 9. Of their 11 home games during this stretch, they have won 6 and lost 3. They have scored 30 goals at home and away combined, conceding 31.
A closer look at Vitoria Guimarães's last 22 games reveals a side that has scored 30 goals and conceded 31. Their home performances stand out: 6 wins from 11 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game.
Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
LLLDL
On the previous matchday, Casa Pia went up against CD Tondela and suffered a defeat at 0 - 1. The result means there is added pressure to deliver a positive result at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.
The last 6 months have seen Casa Pia play 22 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 10. Of their 11 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 7. They have scored 18 goals home and away combined, conceding 34.
Looking at Casa Pia's recent run of 22 games, they have netted 18 goals at a rate of 0.82 per game. Defensively, they have let in 34 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Casa Pia have won 1 and lost 7 of their 11 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Vitoria Guimarães Casa Pia
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 32 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 |  Benfica Lisbon | 32 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 31 | 55 | 73 |
| · · · 2 places · · · | ||||
| 6 |  FC Gil Vicente | 32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Vitoria Guimarães Home | 31 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 |  Moreirense FC | 32 | -10 | 42 |
| · · · 6 places · · · | ||||
| 15 |  C.F. Estrela da Amadora | 32 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia Away | 32 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 |  CD Tondela | 32 | -28 | 25 |
Last Meetings
12/28/2025
Casa Pia
Vitoria Guimarães
Vitoria Guimarães
0-0
03/01/2025
Vitoria Guimarães
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
1-0
09/28/2024
Casa Pia
Vitoria Guimarães
Vitoria Guimarães
1-1
02/24/2024
Vitoria Guimarães
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Vitoria Guimarães ■ Casa Pia