LaLigaMatchday 38 · · Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal CF vs Atlético Madrid on : The Best Bets and Current Odds

One place and potentially just a handful of points apart – Villarreal CF vs Atlético Madrid on is as tight a matchup as the LaLiga can offer. Kick-off at Estadio de la Ceramica is at . Our statistical analysis, current form breakdown and top bookmaker odds give you everything you need to bet smart.
Villarreal CF LogoVillarreal CF3LLDWW
·
Atlético Madrid LogoAtlético Madrid4WWLWW
1X213/10ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X213/5ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X27/4ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 3.5 GoalsProbability42% 11/8 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

All roads lead to Estadio de la Ceramica on as Villarreal CF (3.) host Atlético Madrid (4.) in matchday 38 of the LaLiga — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. Villarreal CF lost 2 - 0 against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid last time out and have scored 27 goals at home this season while conceding 15. Atlético Madrid (4.) claimed another important three points against Girona FC (1 - 0), having won 14 of their last 25 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 41% probability to Villarreal CF taking the points on home soil in the top flight.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Villarreal CF vs Atlético Madrid with Current Odds

Three-Way BetVillarreal CF41%13/10·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals64%-·T&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals42%11/8·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetVillarreal CF 41% · X 23% · Atlético Madrid 36%Villarreal CFXAtlético MadridBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 65% · No 35%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 64% · Under 36%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 42% · Under 58%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-19%1-28%

Villarreal CF, Atlético Madrid or draw? Vote now!

Villarreal CF
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Villarreal CF vs Atlético Madrid on : Full Odds Comparison for the LaLiga Clash at Estadio de la Ceramica

 ProbabilityVillarreal CF41%Draw23%Atlético Madrid36%Zizobet13/1013/57/4Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

Villarreal CF Form
Last 5 games
LLDWW
The last outing for Villarreal CF was against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid – a match they lost 2 - 0. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
Villarreal CF's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 13 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats from 25 games. At home, they have won 9 of 12 games, scoring 27 goals and conceding 15 on their own turf.
Looking at Villarreal CF's recent run of 25 games, they have netted 43 goals at a rate of 1.72 per game. Defensively, they have let in 35 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Villarreal CF have won 9 and lost 3 of their 12 home games in this stretch.
Atlético Madrid Form
Last 5 games
WWLWW
The last outing for Atlético Madrid was against Girona FC — a match they won 1 - 0. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.
The last 6 months have seen Atlético Madrid play 25 competitive matches, winning 14 and losing 9. Of their 13 away games during this stretch, they have won 5 and lost 6. They have scored 37 goals home and away combined, conceding 28.
Over their last 25 matches, Atlético Madrid have found the net 37 times — that's 1.48 goals per game on average. They have conceded 28 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 5 wins and 6 defeats from 13 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Villarreal CF Atlético Madrid
Goals scored
1.7
1.5
Corners
4.5
5.4
Fouls
10.7
11.3
Saves
3
3.5
LaLiga

LaLiga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Barcelona Logo FC Barcelona376194
2Real Madrid Logo Real Madrid374083
3Villarreal CF Logo Villarreal CF Home372269
4Atlético Madrid Logo Atlético Madrid Away372269
5Real Betis Balompié Logo Real Betis Balompié371057
Last Meetings
09/13/2025
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal CF
2-0
01/25/2025
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal CF
1-1
08/19/2024
Villarreal CF
Atlético Madrid
2-2
04/01/2024
Villarreal CF
Atlético Madrid
1-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Villarreal CF ■ Atlético Madrid

Villarreal CF vs Atlético Madrid on : The AI-Backed Tip You Need Before You Bet

With Villarreal CF and Atlético Madrid sitting just one place apart in the LaLiga, three points for either side here could be transformative. Our probability model gives Villarreal CF the higher chance of winning this home fixture and asserting their superiority over their direct rival at 41%, odds 13/10 at Zizobet. The Double Chance 12 at 77% offers a reliable safety net. Our best tip across all available markets is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" — 42% probability and odds of 11/8 at Zizobet.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals11/8Place betT&C's apply | +18