Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union – Betting Tip & Best Odds

Top-flight football in the MLS doesn't get much more compelling than this. Toronto FC (.) welcome Philadelphia Union (.) to BMO Field on 04/22/2026 at 23:30 in matchday 1 of the season. Toronto FC have scored goals this season at an average of per game and drew their last fixture 1 - 1 against FC Cincinnati. Philadelphia Union (.) delivered a polished performance against CF Montréal (1 - 2), having won 1 of their last 7 games. Our model gives a 52% probability to Toronto FC winning this top-flight showdown at 52%.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union with Current Odds

Three-Way BetToronto FC52%13/10·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals53%17/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals53%17/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetToronto FC 52% · X 24% · Philadelphia Union 24%Toronto FCXPhiladelphia UnionBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 55% · No 45%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 53% · Under 47%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 31% · Under 69%OverUnderCorrect Score1-111%0-111%2-110%

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 1

ProbabilityToronto FC52%Draw24%Philadelphia Union24%

13/105/215/8Odd last updated:

13/1012/519/10Odd last updated:

23/185/215/8Odd last updated:

Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope

Toronto FC Form

Last 5 games

DWWDW

The most recent game for Toronto FC saw them take on FC Cincinnati, with the match ending 1 - 1. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better here. They head into this MLS fixture at BMO Field on Wednesday looking to build on recent performances.

The last 6 months have seen Toronto FC play 7 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 2. Of their 4 home games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost . They have scored 10 goals at home and away combined, conceding 11.

In their last 7 games, Toronto FC have scored a total of 10 goals – an average of 1.43 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 11 goals, giving them an average of 1.57 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 2 wins from 4 games.

Philadelphia Union Form

Last 5 games

WLLLL

The last outing for Philadelphia Union was against CF Montréal — a match they won 1 - 2. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.

Philadelphia Union's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, draws and 6 defeats from 7 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 4 games, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7 on the road.

In their last 7 games, Philadelphia Union have scored a total of 6 goals — an average of 0.86 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 12 goals, giving them an average of 1.71 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 4 games on the road.

Stats per Game

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union

Goals scored

1.2

Corners

5.5

Fouls

11.4

14.3

Saves

2.4

2.3

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	7	11	16
2	Chicago Fire FC	7	4	13
3	Inter Miami CF	7	1	12
· · · 1 place · · ·
5	Charlotte FC	7	4	11
6	Toronto FC Home	7	-1	11
7	New York Red Bulls	7	-4	11
· · · 4 places · · ·
12	Atlanta United FC	7	-6	4
13	Philadelphia Union Away	7	-6	3
14	CF Montréal	7	-11	3

Last Meetings

08/09/2025

Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC

1-1

05/28/2025

Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union

1-2

07/13/2024

Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union

2-1

05/29/2024

Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC

0-0

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Toronto FC ■ Philadelphia Union

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: Our Statistical Model's Best Bet for This MLS Clash at BMO Field

The data speaks clearly ahead of this MLS matchday 1 fixture. Our model rates Toronto FC winning on home soil at 52% – best odds of 13/10 at Velobet. Our best value bet across all available markets remains "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" – a compelling combination of 53% probability and odds of 17/20 at Zizobet.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals17/20Place betT&C's apply | +18