Seria AMatchday 33 · · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: SSC Napoli vs Lazio Roma — Seria A Matchday 33

Elite football, high stakes and the best betting tips. SSC Napoli host Lazio Roma on at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in one of the standout fixtures of matchday 33 in the Seria A. Coming off a 1 - 1 against Parma Calcio 1913, the hosts will be eager to impress on the biggest stage. Here's our AI-powered full preview.
SSC Napoli LogoSSC Napoli2DWWWW
·
Lazio Roma LogoLazio Roma9LDWWL
1X211/17PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X263/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X279/16CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability62% 2/3 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

When the Seria A reaches matchday 33, the quality on show is at its peak — and SSC Napoli vs Lazio Roma at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on is no exception. SSC Napoli (2.) have kept 8 wins at home this season, scoring 20 and conceding 10 on their own patch. Lazio Roma (9.) were beaten against AC Fiorentina (1 - 0), having won 8 of their last 25 games. Our data-driven model gives a 46% probability to SSC Napoli winning this top-flight home fixture at 46%.

The Best Betting Tips for SSC Napoli vs Lazio Roma at a Glance

Three-Way BetSSC Napoli11/1711/17·JettBetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals2/32/3·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals2/32/3·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetSSC Napoli 46% · X 28% · Lazio Roma 26%SSC NapoliXLazio RomaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 43% · No 57%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 18% · Under 82%OverUnderCorrect Score1-014%1-113%0-011%

Who will win the match?

SSC Napoli
X
Lazio Roma
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Top odds for the Seria A match SSC Napoli vs Lazio Roma

 ProbabilitySSC Napoli46%Draw28%Lazio Roma26%Cosmobet10/1771/2427/5Odd last updated:JettBet11/1711/449/10Odd last updated:Velobet11/2011/46/1Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

SSC Napoli Form
Last 5 games
DWWWW
On the previous matchday, SSC Napoli went up against Parma Calcio 1913 and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head into this fixture looking to find a winner.
Looking at the past 6 months, SSC Napoli have taken 15 wins from 26 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 8 victories and defeats. On average they have scored 1.38 and conceded 0.96 goals per game.
A closer look at SSC Napoli's last 26 games reveals a side that has scored 36 goals and conceded 25. Their home performances stand out: 8 wins from 12 home fixtures, with defeats — averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game.
Lazio Roma Form
Last 5 games
LDWWL
The most recent game for Lazio Roma saw them take on AC Fiorentina, with the match ending 1 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response when they visit Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. They now make the trip to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for this Seria A clash.
Lazio Roma's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 8 wins, 10 draws and 7 defeats from 25 games. Away from home, they have won 3 of 13 games, scoring 7 goals and conceding 9 on the road.
A closer look at Lazio Roma's last 25 games reveals a side that has scored 21 goals and conceded 23. Their away performances stand out: 3 wins from 13 away fixtures, with 4 defeats — averaging 0.84 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
SSC Napoli Lazio Roma
Goals scored
1.7
1
Corners
5
4.1
Fouls
11.7
8.5
Saves
1.7
2.7
Seria A

Seria A Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Inter Milano Logo Inter Milano324675
2SSC Napoli Logo SSC Napoli Home321766
3AC Milano Logo AC Milano322063
· · · 4 places · · ·
8Bologna FC Logo Bologna FC32548
9Lazio Roma Logo Lazio Roma Away31344
10Udinese Calcio Logo Udinese Calcio32-443
Last Meetings
01/04/2026
Lazio Roma
SSC Napoli
0-2
02/15/2025
Lazio Roma
SSC Napoli
2-2
12/08/2024
SSC Napoli
Lazio Roma
0-1
12/05/2024
Lazio Roma
SSC Napoli
3-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ SSC Napoli ■ Lazio Roma

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for SSC Napoli vs Lazio Roma on

Taking into account the current form of both SSC Napoli and Lazio Roma, our statistical model points to SSC Napoli claiming the three points at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona — 46% probability, odds of 11/17 at JettBet. Our AI pick for maximum value in this fixture is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 62% probability with odds of 2/3 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals2/3Place betT&C's apply | +18