Primeira LigaMatchday 30 · · Estádio José Alvalade

The Best Betting Tips for Sporting CP vs Benfica Lisbon at a Glance

The derby is here. Sporting CP (position 2) host Benfica Lisbon (position 3) on at Estádio José Alvalade – matchday 30 of the Primeira Liga. Local pride is on the line. Our full statistical preview and best betting tips are right here.
Sporting CP LogoSporting CP2WWWDW
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Benfica Lisbon LogoBenfica Lisbon3WDWWD
1X29/8CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X258/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X243/20PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 3.5 GoalsProbability48% 9/5 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Not all fixtures in the Primeira Liga carry the same weight — but the derby between Sporting CP and Benfica Lisbon most certainly does. Matchday 30 brings these two rivals together at Estádio José Alvalade on at . Sporting CP (2.) head into this one having won 16 of their last 20 matches — delivered a convincing win against C.F. Estrela da Amadora (0 - 1). Their opponents (3.) have scored goals this season — an average of per game — and won 2 - 0 against Nacional Madeira last out. Cutting through the noise and crunching the data, our AI model arrives at a 47% probability to take derby glory in front of their home crowd.

Primeira Liga Matchday 30: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview

Three-Way BetSporting CP9/89/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals3/43/4·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals9/59/5·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetSporting CP 47% · X 22% · Benfica Lisbon 31%Sporting CPXBenfica LisbonBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 69% · No 31%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 70% · Under 30%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderCorrect Score2-19%1-19%2-27%

Sporting CP, Benfica Lisbon or draw? Vote now!

Sporting CP
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Benfica Lisbon
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Current odds for Sporting CP vs Benfica Lisbon

 ProbabilitySporting CP47%Draw22%Benfica Lisbon31%Cosmobet9/847/1823/10Odd last updated:JettBet15/1427/1041/20Odd last updated:Velobet11/1011/411/5Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

Sporting CP Form
Last 5 games
WWWDW
Sporting CP most recently faced C.F. Estrela da Amadora, winning the match 0 - 1. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood ahead of this next challenge.
The last 6 months have seen Sporting CP play 20 competitive matches, winning 16 and losing . Of their 9 home games during this stretch, they have won 9 and lost . They have scored 53 goals at home and away combined, conceding 12.
Looking at Sporting CP's recent run of 20 games, they have netted 53 goals at a rate of 2.65 per game. Defensively, they have let in 12 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Sporting CP have won 9 and lost of their 9 home games in this stretch.
Benfica Lisbon Form
Last 5 games
WDWWD
The last outing for Benfica Lisbon was against Nacional Madeira — a match they won 2 - 0. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.
Looking at the past 6 months, Benfica Lisbon have taken 15 wins from 21 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Estádio José Alvalade. Their away games during this period have produced 7 victories and defeats. On average they have scored 2.29 and conceded 0.67 goals per game.
Benfica Lisbon's most recent 21 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 48 goals (2.29 per game) while conceding 14 (0.67 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Benfica Lisbon have won 7, drawn 3 and lost of their 10 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Estádio José Alvalade.
Stats per Game
Sporting CP Benfica Lisbon
Goals scored
2.3
1.9
Corners
7.7
9.6
Fouls
12.4
9.6
Saves
2.1
2.3
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto294576
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP Home285671
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon Away294369
4Sporting Braga Logo Sporting Braga282852
Last Meetings
12/05/2025
Benfica Lisbon
Sporting CP
1-1
07/31/2025
Sporting CP
Benfica Lisbon
0-1
05/25/2025
Benfica Lisbon
Sporting CP
1-3
05/10/2025
Benfica Lisbon
Sporting CP
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Sporting CP ■ Benfica Lisbon

Betting Tip from Our Statistical Model for the Derby Between Sporting CP and Benfica Lisbon

Two of the Primeira Liga's finest going head-to-head at Estádio José Alvalade – and our model has crunched every number to find the best betting value. Our prediction is Sporting CP to make home advantage count in this title clash – 47% probability, with top odds of 9/8 at Cosmobet. When balancing probability and odds value across all available markets, our best tip for this top-of-the-table fixture is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" – 48% probability and odds of 9/5 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals9/5Place betT&C's apply | +18