All roads lead to St. Mary's Stadium on as Southampton FC host Bristol City in matchday 44 of the Championship. Southampton FC (4.) come into this one having claimed a much-needed win 1 - 2 against Swansea City A.F.C. — a great sign ahead of this home fixture. Factoring in form, league position and head-to-head data, our AI model sees Southampton FC's home form as the decisive factor — probability: 58%.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 44 of the Championship
Three-Way BetSouthampton FC58%9/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%11/17·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X242%83/50·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way BetSouthampton FC 58% · X 22% · Bristol City 20%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 54% · No 46%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%Correct Score1-110%2-010%2-110%
Southampton FC vs Bristol City: who will win?
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Southampton FC vs Bristol City: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 44
ProbabilitySouthampton FC58%Draw22%Bristol City20%
4/9183/5052/9Odd last updated:
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4/918/511/2Odd last updated:4/910/36/1Odd last updated:Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared
Southampton FC Form
Last 5 games
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On the previous matchday, Southampton FC went up against Swansea City A.F.C. and came away with all three points at 1 - 2. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
Southampton FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 19 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats from 32 games. At home, they have won 11 of 16 games, scoring 30 goals and conceding 11 on their own turf.
Southampton FC's most recent 32 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 63 goals (1.97 per game) while conceding 36 (1.13 per game). In terms of home performances, Southampton FC have won 11, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their 16 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Bristol City Form
Last 5 games
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Bristol City most recently faced Norwich City F.C., losing the match 2 - 4. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back and take something from this trip to St. Mary's Stadium.
Over the past 6 months, Bristol City have won 11, drawn 6 and lost 15 of their 32 games. Away from home they have picked up 5 wins from 16 fixtures, losing 7. They have scored 35 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.09 per game.
Bristol City's most recent 32 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 35 goals (1.09 per game) while conceding 44 (1.38 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Bristol City have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 7 of their 16 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to St. Mary's Stadium.
Stats per Game
Southampton FC
Bristol City
Goals scored
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Fouls
Saves
Championship
Championship Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City F.C. | 43 | 42 | 86 |
| 2 |  Millwall F.C. | 43 | 11 | 76 |
| 3 |  Ipswich Town F.C. | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Southampton FC Home | 43 | 24 | 75 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough F.C. | 42 | 20 | 72 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 9 |  Norwich City F.C. | 43 | 7 | 61 |
| 10 | Bristol City Away | 43 | -1 | 58 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 43 | -7 | 58 |
Last Meetings
10/21/2025
Bristol City
Southampton FC
Southampton FC
3-1
02/13/2024
Bristol City
Southampton FC
Southampton FC
3-1
11/29/2023
Southampton FC
Bristol City
Bristol City
1-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Southampton FC
■ Bristol City
Southampton FC vs Bristol City: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip
What does the data say about Southampton FC vs Bristol City? Our model is clear: Southampton FC to take the win in front of their home crowd is the most likely outcome – 58% probability, best odds 9/20 at Palmslots. Our standout pick across all bet markets is "Double Chance" – 42% probability and odds of 83/50 at Rollino.Best Tip Double Chance X283/50Place betT&C's apply | +18Further Championship Matches & Betting Tips
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City A.F.C.
Birmingham City vs Preston North End F.C.
Coventry City F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C.
Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.
Sheffield United vs Blackburn Rovers FC
Stoke City F.C. vs Millwall F.C.
Middlesbrough F.C. vs Sheffield Wednesday F.C.
West Bromwich Albion vs Watford F.C.
Leicester City vs Hull City A.F.C.
Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.
Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C.
Birmingham City vs Preston North End F.C.Coventry City F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C.Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.Sheffield United vs Blackburn Rovers FCStoke City F.C. vs Millwall F.C.Middlesbrough F.C. vs Sheffield Wednesday F.C.West Bromwich Albion vs Watford F.C.Leicester City vs Hull City A.F.C.Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C.