San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC | MLS Betting Tip & Prediction (08/16/2026)

The MLS is where reputations are built and defended — and on Sunday, matchday 1 at Earthquakes Stadium will add another chapter to that story. San Jose Earthquakes (.) won their last game 1 - 3 against Portland Timbers — a result that left them in confident mood heading into this top-flight encounter. St. Louis City SC (.) have scored goals this season and won 3 - 0 against Austin FC last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 4 of their 14 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 53% probability for San Jose Earthquakes to come out on top and cement their standing in the MLS.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC

Three-Way BetSan Jose Earthquakes53%4/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals64%1/2·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals64%1/2·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetSan Jose Earthquakes 53% · X 22% · St. Louis City SC 25%San Jose EarthquakesXSt. Louis City SCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 63% · No 37%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 64% · Under 36%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 42% · Under 58%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-110%2-07%

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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

ProbabilitySan Jose Earthquakes53%Draw22%St. Louis City SC25%

2/316/510/3Odd last updated:

4/514/531/10Odd last updated:

2/316/567/20Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes Form

Last 5 games

WLLDD

On the previous matchday, San Jose Earthquakes went up against Portland Timbers and came away with all three points at 1 - 3. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.

The last 6 months have seen San Jose Earthquakes play 14 competitive matches, winning 10 and losing 2. Of their 6 home games during this stretch, they have won 4 and lost 1. They have scored 34 goals at home and away combined, conceding 14.

A closer look at San Jose Earthquakes's last 14 games reveals a side that has scored 34 goals and conceded 14. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 6 home fixtures, with 1 defeats — averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

St. Louis City SC Form

Last 5 games

WDWWL

The most recent game for St. Louis City SC saw them take on Austin FC, with the match ending 3 - 0. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to Earthquakes Stadium. They now make the trip to Earthquakes Stadium for this MLS clash.

St. Louis City SC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 14 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 8 games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 13 on the road.

Over their last 14 matches, St. Louis City SC have found the net 16 times — that's 1.14 goals per game on average. They have conceded 20 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 1 wins and 4 defeats from 8 away fixtures.

Stats per Game

San Jose Earthquakes St. Louis City SC

Goals scored

2.7

1.5

Corners

6.4

5.5

Fouls

11.5

Saves

3.2

2.8

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	14	20	33
2	Inter Miami CF	15	11	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	11	26

Last Meetings

04/26/2026

St. Louis City SC
San Jose Earthquakes

2-3

05/31/2025

St. Louis City SC
San Jose Earthquakes

2-1

02/15/2025

St. Louis City SC
San Jose Earthquakes

1-2

09/22/2024

San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City SC

1-2

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ San Jose Earthquakes ■ St. Louis City SC

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC on Sunday

For this MLS clash between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City SC, our probability model and AI-powered analysis align on the same conclusion: San Jose Earthquakes to win and take all three points — 53% probability, odds 4/5 at Zizobet. Looking across all bet markets for the best combination of probability and odds, our top tip is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 64% and odds of 1/2 at Palmslots.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals1/2Place betT&C's apply | +18