San Diego FC vs Minnesota United FC

Not all fixtures in the MLS carry the same weight — but the derby between San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC most certainly does. Matchday 1 brings these two rivals together at Snapdragon Stadium on 04/12/2026 at 2:30. San Diego FC (.) head into this one having won 3 of their last 5 matches — had to share the spoils against Real Salt Lake (2 - 2). Their opponents (.) have scored goals this season — an average of per game — and drew 0 - 0 against Seattle Sounders FC last out. Cutting through the noise and crunching the data, our AI model arrives at a 66% probability to take derby glory in front of their home crowd.

The Best Betting Tips for San Diego FC vs Minnesota United FC at a Glance

Three-Way BetSan Diego FC66%31/47·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals66%11/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipSan Diego FC -1.5 Goals44%37/22·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetSan Diego FC 66% · X 19% · Minnesota United FC 15%San Diego FCXMinnesota United FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 57% · No 43%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 66% · Under 34%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 44% · Under 56%OverUnderCorrect Score2-110%2-010%3-09%

San Diego FC vs Minnesota United FC: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 1

ProbabilitySan Diego FC66%Draw19%Minnesota United FC15%

5/831/107/2Odd last updated:

5/816/517/5Odd last updated:

31/4716/517/5Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

San Diego FC Form

Last 5 games

DDWWW

San Diego FC's last competitive outing ended 2 - 2 against Real Salt Lake — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at Snapdragon Stadium on Sunday.

San Diego FC's most recent 5 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) while conceding 5 (1 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, San Diego FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost of their 3 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

In their last 5 games, San Diego FC have scored a total of 13 goals – an average of 2.6 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 5 goals, giving them an average of 1 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 2 wins from 3 games.

Minnesota United FC Form

Last 5 games

DLWDW

Minnesota United FC's last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Seattle Sounders FC — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. They travel to Snapdragon Stadium for this MLS fixture on Sunday.

Looking at the past 6 months, Minnesota United FC have taken 1 wins from 4 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Snapdragon Stadium. Their away games during this period have produced victories and 1 defeats. On average they have scored 1 and conceded 1.25 goals per game.

In their last 4 games, Minnesota United FC have scored a total of 4 goals — an average of 1 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 5 goals, giving them an average of 1.25 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from 2 games on the road.

Stats per Game

San Diego FC Minnesota United FC

Goals scored

1.9

1.2

Corners

5.3

Fouls

10.5

11.6

Saves

3.1

3.7

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	5	11	13
2	New York City FC	5	7	10
3	Inter Miami CF	5	1	10

Last Meetings

06/15/2025

Minnesota United FC
San Diego FC

2-4

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ San Diego FC ■ Minnesota United FC

Betting Tip from Our Statistical Model for the Derby Between San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC

The Snapdragon Stadium derby in the MLS is full of passion — but our analysis keeps the focus firmly on the numbers. Based on current form, goal records and league position, we rate San Diego FC to claim derby glory on home soil at 66%, odds 31/47 at Palmslots. Our best tip for this derby, weighing value and probability across all markets, is "Handicap - 1.5" — 44% probability, odds 37/22 at Zizobet.Best Tip San Diego FC -1.5 Goals37/22Place betT&C's apply | +18