Primeira LigaMatchday 28 · · Estádio do Rio Ave FC

Rio Ave FC vs F.C. Alverca on : AI Prediction, Stats & Top Odds

Top-level Primeira Liga action arrives on as Rio Ave FC open their doors at Estádio do Rio Ave FC to rivals F.C. Alverca. Positions 10 and 11 in the table do battle in matchday 28 - our AI-powered statistical analysis, probability-based prediction and best odds on the market are all right here.
Rio Ave FC LogoRio Ave FC10WWDLL
·
F.C. Alverca LogoF.C. Alverca11LDDDD
1X23/2RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X237/15CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X211/6ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability60% 5/6 Visit JettBetT&C's apply | +18

It's elite football in the Primeira Liga on as Rio Ave FC lock horns with F.C. Alverca at Estádio do Rio Ave FC — kick-off at . Both clubs know what it takes to compete at the highest level, and the numbers back that up. Rio Ave FC (10.) have conceded just goals per game on average and won their last match 1 - 2 against Estoril Praia. In the last 6 months they have won 6 of their 20 games. F.C. Alverca (11.) lost 1 - 4 against Sporting CP and have averaged goals per game this season. Crunching all the data, our AI model gives a 38% probability to F.C. Alverca taking a result that strengthens their top-flight standing.

Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 28 of the Primeira Liga

Three-Way BetF.C. Alverca11/611/6·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals5/65/6·JettBetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals5/65/6·JettBetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetRio Ave FC 34% · X 28% · F.C. Alverca 38%Rio Ave FCXF.C. AlvercaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 47% · No 53%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-112%1-011%

Best Available Odds for Rio Ave FC vs F.C. Alverca on

 ProbabilityRio Ave FC34%Draw28%F.C. Alverca38%Cosmobet29/1823/1011/6Odd last updated:JettBet25/1812/517/10Odd last updated:Velobet16/1112/59/5Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

Rio Ave FC Form
Last 5 games
WWDLL
Rio Ave FC's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against Estoril Praia — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Estádio do Rio Ave FC on .
Rio Ave FC's most recent 20 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 18 goals (0.9 per game) while conceding 32 (1.6 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, Rio Ave FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their 9 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
A closer look at Rio Ave FC's last 20 games reveals a side that has scored 18 goals and conceded 32. Their home performances stand out: 2 wins from 9 home fixtures, with 5 defeats — averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
F.C. Alverca Form
Last 5 games
LDDDD
The last outing for F.C. Alverca was against Sporting CP — a match they lost 1 - 4. A defeat they will be eager to put right when they travel to Estádio do Rio Ave FC.
In the last 6 months, F.C. Alverca have played 20 games, winning 5 of them. Their away record in that period reads 2 wins and 5 defeats from 10 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 19 goals while conceding 34 – a defensive average of 1.7 per game.
F.C. Alverca's most recent 20 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 19 goals (0.95 per game) while conceding 34 (1.7 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, F.C. Alverca have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their 10 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Estádio do Rio Ave FC.
Stats per Game
Rio Ave FC F.C. Alverca
Goals scored
0.7
1
Corners
4
4.8
Fouls
12.1
11.9
Saves
2.6
3.3
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto274372
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP265365
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon274165
· · · 5 places · · ·
9Vitoria Guimarães Logo Vitoria Guimarães27-1332
10Rio Ave FC Logo Rio Ave FC Home27-1830
11F.C. Alverca Logo F.C. Alverca Away27-1829
12F.C. Arouca Logo F.C. Arouca27-2129
Last Meetings
11/08/2025
F.C. Alverca
Rio Ave FC
1-1
11/23/2024
F.C. Alverca
Rio Ave FC
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Rio Ave FC ■ F.C. Alverca

Rio Ave FC vs F.C. Alverca: Our Statistical Model's Best Bet for This Primeira Liga Clash at Estádio do Rio Ave FC

In Primeira Liga fixtures between table neighbours, form and confidence often prove decisive. Our model leans towards F.C. Alverca to use their current momentum to take the points away from home — probability 38%, odds 11/6 at Cosmobet. The Double Chance 12 is available at 72% for those who want additional cover. Balancing probability and value across all markets, our standout tip is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 60% probability, best odds 5/6 at JettBet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals5/6Place betT&C's apply | +18