The LaLiga is where reputations are built and defended — and on , matchday 38 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu will add another chapter to that story. Real Madrid (2.) won their last game 0 - 1 against Sevilla FC — a result that left them in confident mood heading into this top-flight encounter. Athletic Bilbao (12.) have scored goals this season and drew 1 - 1 against Celta de Vigo last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 8 of their 25 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 54% probability for Real Madrid to come out on top and cement their standing in the LaLiga.
Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the LaLiga Fixture
Three-Way BetReal Madrid54%4/9·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%-·T&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 3.5 Goals67%2/3·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way BetReal Madrid 54% · X 23% · Athletic Bilbao 23%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 56% · No 44%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%Correct Score1-111%1-010%2-110%
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: who will win?
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 38
Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?
Real Madrid Form
Last 5 games
WWLWD
The most recent game for Real Madrid saw them take on Sevilla FC, with the match ending 0 - 1. The win is a timely confidence boost ahead of this next fixture. They head into this LaLiga fixture at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on looking to build on recent performances.
The last 6 months have seen Real Madrid play 25 competitive matches, winning 16 and losing 5. Of their 12 home games during this stretch, they have won 9 and lost 2. They have scored 47 goals at home and away combined, conceding 23.
Looking at Real Madrid's recent run of 25 games, they have netted 47 goals at a rate of 1.88 per game. Defensively, they have let in 23 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Real Madrid have won 9 and lost 2 of their 12 home games in this stretch.
Athletic Bilbao Form
Last 5 games
DLLWL
On the previous matchday, Athletic Bilbao went up against Celta de Vigo and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head to Estadio Santiago Bernabéu looking to find a winner away from home.
Over the past 6 months, Athletic Bilbao have won 8, drawn 4 and lost 13 of their 25 games. Away from home they have picked up 3 wins from 13 fixtures, losing 8. They have scored 29 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.16 per game.
Over their last 25 matches, Athletic Bilbao have found the net 29 times — that's 1.16 goals per game on average. They have conceded 41 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 3 wins and 8 defeats from 13 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
LaLiga
LaLiga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona | 37 | 61 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid Home | 37 | 40 | 83 |
| 3 |  Villarreal CF | 37 | 22 | 69 |
| · · · 7 places · · · | ||||
| 11 |  Espanyol Barcelona | 37 | -12 | 45 |
| 12 | Athletic Bilbao Away | 37 | -13 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla FC | 37 | -13 | 43 |
Last Meetings
12/03/2025
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
0-3
04/20/2025
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
12/04/2024
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2-1
03/31/2024
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Real Madrid
■ Athletic Bilbao
