Separated by just one spot in the Championship standings, Norwich City F.C. and Derby County F.C. meet at Carrow Road on in what promises to be a fiercely contested matchday 44 fixture. Norwich City F.C. (9.) won their last outing 2 - 4 against Bristol City and have taken 8 wins from 16 home games this period. Derby County F.C. (8.) delivered a strong performance against Oxford United F.C. (1 - 0). Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 39% probability for Derby County F.C. to claim an away victory that reshuffles the standings.
Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C.39%27/10·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals51%10/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X265%4/5·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Statistical help for successful sports betting
Three-Way BetNorwich City F.C. 35% · X 26% · Derby County F.C. 39%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 55% · No 45%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 51% · Under 49%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 29% · Under 71%Correct Score1-112%1-09%1-29%
Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.: who will win?
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Best Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. pre-match odds
ProbabilityNorwich City F.C.35%Draw26%Derby County F.C.39%
34/3328/1121/8Odd last updated:
1/127/105/2Odd last updated:
1/15/213/5Odd last updated:
34/3328/1121/8Odd last updated:
1/127/105/2Odd last updated:1/15/213/5Odd last updated:The latest results and performance in detail
Norwich City F.C. Form
Last 5 games
WLWDW
The last outing for Norwich City F.C. was against Bristol City – a match they won 2 - 4. A win that will have boosted confidence in the camp.
Norwich City F.C.'s form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 16 wins, 5 draws and 11 defeats from 32 games. At home, they have won 8 of 16 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding 17 on their own turf.
Norwich City F.C.'s most recent 32 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 48 goals (1.5 per game) while conceding 36 (1.13 per game). In terms of home performances, Norwich City F.C. have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their 16 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
WLWLW
Derby County F.C.'s last competitive outing ended 1 - 0 against Oxford United F.C. — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Carrow Road for this Championship fixture on .
Over the past 6 months, Derby County F.C. have won 17, drawn 4 and lost 11 of their 32 games. Away from home they have picked up 8 wins from 16 fixtures, losing 7. They have scored 50 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.56 per game.
In their last 32 games, Derby County F.C. have scored a total of 50 goals — an average of 1.56 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 37 goals, giving them an average of 1.16 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 8 wins from 16 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Norwich City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Championship
Championship Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City F.C. | 43 | 42 | 86 |
| 2 |  Millwall F.C. | 43 | 11 | 76 |
| 3 |  Ipswich Town F.C. | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 7 |  Wrexham A.F.C. | 43 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Derby County F.C. Away | 43 | 9 | 66 |
| 9 | Norwich City F.C. Home | 43 | 7 | 61 |
| 10 |  Bristol City | 43 | -1 | 58 |
Last Meetings
10/21/2025
Derby County F.C.
Norwich City F.C.
Norwich City F.C.
1-0
02/08/2025
Norwich City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
1-1
09/28/2024
Derby County F.C.
Norwich City F.C.
Norwich City F.C.
2-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Norwich City F.C.
■ Derby County F.C.
Norwich City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.: Our AI-Powered Tip for the Championship
One place in the Championship table separates Norwich City F.C. and Derby County F.C. — and our model gives Derby County F.C. a 39% chance of leapfrogging their hosts with an away win. Best odds: 27/10 at Palmslots. Given how closely matched these neighbours are, covering with the Double Chance 12 at 74% is a sensible strategy. Our best overall pick is "Double Chance" — 65% probability, odds 4/5 at Palmslots.Best Tip Double Chance X24/5Place betT&C's apply | +18More Championship Predictions & Best Odds
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