New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

The MLS - the flagship competition of the association — reaches matchday 1 with a fixture between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC at Sports Illustrated Stadium on 10/17/2026 at 23:30. New York Red Bulls (.) enter this game having won 2 from 5 home games recently and won 4 - 1 against San Diego FC last time out. Toronto FC (.) claimed all three points against CF Montréal (2 - 1). Their attacking record this season stands at goals — an average of per game. In the last 6 months, they have scored 2 and conceded 5 in away games. Our AI-powered probability-based forecast currently points to New York Red Bulls to win in front of their home crowd in the top flight at 55%.

MLS Matchday 1: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview

Three-Way BetNew York Red Bulls55%11/10·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals78%4/9·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals59%1/1·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetNew York Red Bulls 55% · X 20% · Toronto FC 25%New York Red BullsXToronto FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 73% · No 27%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 78% · Under 22%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 59% · Under 41%OverUnderCorrect Score1-28%2-18%3-17%

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Top odds for the MLS match New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

ProbabilityNew York Red Bulls55%Draw20%Toronto FC25%

11/103/115/8Odd last updated:

21/2014/521/10Odd last updated:

12/1171/2419/10Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

New York Red Bulls Form

Last 5 games

WWDWW

New York Red Bulls most recently faced San Diego FC, winning the match 4 - 1. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood ahead of this next challenge.

The last 6 months have seen New York Red Bulls play 9 competitive matches, winning 4 and losing 3. Of their 5 home games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 1. They have scored 18 goals at home and away combined, conceding 18.

In their last 9 games, New York Red Bulls have scored a total of 18 goals – an average of 2 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 18 goals, giving them an average of 2 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 2 wins from 5 games.

Toronto FC Form

Last 5 games

WLLLD

Toronto FC's last competitive outing ended 2 - 1 against CF Montréal — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium for this MLS fixture on Saturday.

In the last 6 months, Toronto FC have played 8 games, winning 1 of them. Their away record in that period reads wins and 2 defeats from 2 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 14 goals while conceding 19 – a defensive average of 2.38 per game.

Over their last 8 matches, Toronto FC have found the net 14 times — that's 1.75 goals per game on average. They have conceded 19 goals in the same span, with their away form showing wins and 2 defeats from 2 away fixtures.

Stats per Game

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC

Goals scored

1.8

Corners

4.8

5.2

Fouls

13.6

12.7

Saves

3.2

2.8

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	28	37	63
2	Inter Miami CF	28	18	49
3	Chicago Fire FC	28	11	48
· · · 3 places · · ·
7	Orlando City SC	28	-15	37
8	New York Red Bulls Home	28	-14	36
9	FC Cincinnati	27	-7	36
10	New York City FC	28	4	33
11	Toronto FC Away	28	-11	32
12	D.C. United	27	-12	30

Last Meetings

03/14/2026

Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls

1-1

06/25/2025

Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls

1-1

03/22/2025

New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC

2-1

10/02/2024

Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls

1-4

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ New York Red Bulls ■ Toronto FC

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC on 10/17/2026: The AI-Backed Tip You Need Before You Bet

When assessing New York Red Bulls against Toronto FC in the MLS, our statistical model arrives at a probability of 55% for the home side to take the win. The best odds on this outcome stand at 11/10 with Velobet. Our number one tip for this fixture, selected for its combination of high probability and strong odds, is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" – 59% probability and 1/1 at Zizobet.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals1/1Place betT&C's apply | +18