Top-flight football in the MLS doesn't get much more compelling than this. New York City FC (.) welcome D.C. United (.) to Yankee Stadium on at in matchday 1 of the season. New York City FC have scored goals this season at an average of per game and lost their last fixture 1 - 2 against Charlotte FC. D.C. United (.) could only manage a point against Philadelphia Union (0 - 0), having won 2 of their last 8 games. Our model gives a 64% probability to New York City FC winning this top-flight showdown at 64%.
New York City FC vs D.C. United: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds
Three-Way BetNew York City FC64%7/13·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals60%11/10·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals60%11/10·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetNew York City FC 64% · X 23% · D.C. United 13%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 37% · No 63%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%Correct Score1-017%2-014%2-110%
New York City FC vs D.C. United: who will win?
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Best Available Odds for New York City FC vs D.C. United on
ProbabilityNew York City FC64%Draw23%D.C. United13%
1/231/109/2Odd last updated:
8/153/15/1Odd last updated:
7/1331/1047/10Odd last updated:
1/231/109/2Odd last updated:8/153/15/1Odd last updated:7/1331/1047/10Odd last updated:Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators
New York City FC Form
Last 5 games
LLDLW
New York City FC most recently faced Charlotte FC, losing the match 1 - 2. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.
New York City FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 8 games. At home, they have won 2 of 5 games, scoring 12 goals and conceding 7 on their own turf.
In their last 8 games, New York City FC have scored a total of 15 goals – an average of 1.88 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 11 goals, giving them an average of 1.38 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 2 wins from 5 games.
D.C. United Form
Last 5 games
DLLDW
The last outing for D.C. United was against Philadelphia Union — a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
The last 6 months have seen D.C. United play 8 competitive matches, winning 2 and losing 4. Of their 5 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 2. They have scored 4 goals home and away combined, conceding 9.
Looking at D.C. United's recent run of 8 games, they have netted 4 goals at a rate of 0.5 per game. Defensively, they have let in 9 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, D.C. United have won 1 and lost 2 of their 5 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
New York City FC
D.C. United
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
MLS
MLS Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville S.C. | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami CF | 8 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 |  Charlotte FC | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| · · · 2 places · · · | ||||
| 6 |  Toronto FC | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | New York City FC Home | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 | D.C. United Away | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 8 | -6 | 8 |
Last Meetings
05/14/2025
D.C. United
New York City FC
New York City FC
0-0
09/14/2024
D.C. United
New York City FC
New York City FC
1-1
04/20/2024
New York City FC
D.C. United
D.C. United
2-0
10/07/2023
D.C. United
New York City FC
New York City FC
2-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ New York City FC
■ D.C. United
New York City FC vs D.C. United: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip
Our AI model has gone through every available data point for this MLS encounter and arrived at a clear conclusion. The most likely outcome is New York City FC to secure a home win — rated at 64%, with the best odds of 7/13 at Palmslots. When it comes to the single bet that best combines probability and value, our AI pick is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" at Palmslots — 60% probability and odds of 11/10.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals11/10Place betT&C's apply | +18More Betting Tips from the MLS
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