The Primeira Liga is the pinnacle of the game in its association — and matchday 34 delivers a fixture worthy of that billing. Nacional Madeira (14.) host Vitoria Guimarães (8.) at Estádio dos Barreiros on at . The hosts lost their last outing 2 - 0 against CD Santa Clara and have won 5 of their last 21 games — determined to show they belong at this level with a strong home performance. Vitoria Guimarães lost 0 - 1 against Casa Pia last time out. Our statistical model gives a 36% probability to Vitoria Guimarães making the most of home advantage in the top flight.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 34 of the Primeira Liga
Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães36%27/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals57%29/23·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals57%29/23·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way BetNacional Madeira 36% · X 28% · Vitoria Guimarães 36%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 43% · Under 57%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 22% · Under 78%Correct Score1-113%0-111%1-011%
Who will win the match?

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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers
ProbabilityNacional Madeira36%Draw28%Vitoria Guimarães36%
17/2061/2027/10Odd last updated:
17/2047/1613/5Odd last updated:
17/2061/2027/10Odd last updated:
17/2047/1613/5Odd last updated:How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown
Nacional Madeira Form
Last 5 games
LLWWL
Nacional Madeira most recently faced CD Santa Clara, losing the match 2 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.
Looking at the past 6 months, Nacional Madeira have taken 5 wins from 21 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 4 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 1.14 and conceded 1.38 goals per game.
A closer look at Nacional Madeira's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 24 goals and conceded 29. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 10 home fixtures, with 4 defeats — averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game.
Vitoria Guimarães Form
Last 5 games
LLWWD
Vitoria Guimarães most recently faced Casa Pia, losing the match 0 - 1. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back and take something from this trip to Estádio dos Barreiros.
The last 6 months have seen Vitoria Guimarães play 22 competitive matches, winning 8 and losing 10. Of their 10 away games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 6. They have scored 29 goals home and away combined, conceding 32.
Over their last 22 matches, Vitoria Guimarães have found the net 29 times — that's 1.32 goals per game on average. They have conceded 32 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 2 wins and 6 defeats from 10 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Nacional Madeira
Vitoria Guimarães
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 33 | 47 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 33 | 62 | 79 |
| 3 | Benfica Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 77 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 33 | -12 | 42 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimarães Away | 33 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -1 | 39 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 13 | Rio Ave FC | 33 | -22 | 35 |
| 14 | Nacional Madeira Home | 33 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | C.F. Estrela da Amadora | 33 | -18 | 29 |
Last Meetings
01/02/2026
Vitoria Guimarães
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
2-1
05/03/2025
Nacional Madeira
Vitoria Guimarães
Vitoria Guimarães
1-2
12/23/2024
Vitoria Guimarães
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Nacional Madeira
■ Vitoria Guimarães





FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica Lisbon
Moreirense FC
Estoril Praia
Rio Ave FC
C.F. Estrela da Amadora







