Leeds United vs Burnley FC | Premier League Betting Tip & Prediction (05/01/2026)

Leeds United host Burnley FC on Friday at 19:00 at Elland Road — matchday 35 of the Premier League. The hosts come into this one having drawn their last home game — 2 - 2 against AFC Bournemouth. The visitors (Burnley FC., 19) arrived in Elland Road having lost 0 - 1 against Manchester City last time out, scoring goals and conceding across the season so far. All factors considered, our model gives a 49% probability to Leeds United securing three points at home.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Premier League Fixture

Three-Way BetLeeds United49%7/15·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%6/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%6/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetLeeds United 49% · X 26% · Burnley FC 25%Leeds UnitedXBurnley FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score1-012%1-112%2-19%

Who will win Leeds United vs Burnley FC?

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Current odds for Leeds United vs Burnley FC

ProbabilityLeeds United49%Draw26%Burnley FC25%

7/1534/935/6Odd last updated:

2/57/213/2Odd last updated:

5/1210/313/2Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

Leeds United Form

Last 5 games

DWWDL

The most recent game for Leeds United saw them take on AFC Bournemouth, with the match ending 2 - 2. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better here. They head into this Premier League fixture at Elland Road on Friday looking to build on recent performances.

The last 6 months have seen Leeds United play 24 competitive matches, winning 6 and losing 8. Of their 12 home games during this stretch, they have won 5 and lost 4. They have scored 35 goals at home and away combined, conceding 37.

Leeds United's most recent 24 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 35 goals (1.46 per game) while conceding 37 (1.54 per game). In terms of home performances, Leeds United have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their 12 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

Burnley FC Form

Last 5 games

LLLLD

Burnley FC's last competitive outing ended 0 - 1 against Manchester City — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Elland Road for this Premier League fixture on Friday.

Looking at the past 6 months, Burnley FC have taken 1 wins from 25 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Elland Road. Their away games during this period have produced 1 victories and 8 defeats. On average they have scored 0.88 and conceded 2.04 goals per game.

In their last 25 games, Burnley FC have scored a total of 22 goals — an average of 0.88 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 51 goals, giving them an average of 2.04 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 12 games on the road.

Stats per Game

Leeds United Burnley FC

Goals scored

1.3

0.9

Corners

4.1

4.5

Fouls

9.7

Saves

3.2

2.5

Premier League

Premier League Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Arsenal London	34	38	73
2	Manchester City	33	37	70
3	Manchester United	33	13	58
· · · 10 places · · ·
14	Newcastle United	34	-4	42
15	Leeds United Home	34	-7	40
16	Nottingham Forest	34	-4	39
· · · 1 place · · ·
18	Tottenham Hotspur	34	-10	34
19	Burnley FC Away	34	-34	20
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers	34	-38	17

Last Meetings

10/18/2025

Burnley FC
Leeds United

2-0

01/27/2025

Burnley FC
Leeds United

0-0

09/14/2024

Leeds United
Burnley FC

0-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Leeds United ■ Burnley FC

Leeds United vs Burnley FC on 05/01/2026: The AI-Backed Tip You Need Before You Bet

Crunching the numbers for Leeds United vs Burnley FC, our model identifies a Leeds United home win as the most probable outcome at 49%, with top odds of 7/15 available at Cosmobet. Factoring in all bet markets, our AI pick is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — odds of 6/5 at Zizobet and a 54% probability.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals6/5Place betT&C's apply | +18