Premier LeagueMatchday 11 · · Stamford Bridge

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United on : The Best Bets and Current Odds

Premier League heads to Stamford Bridge on as Chelsea FC take on Leeds United — kick-off at . Our statistical model has analysed the numbers — here's everything you need: form, stats, odds comparison and our top tip.
Chelsea FC LogoChelsea FC4LWWLW
·
Leeds United LogoLeeds United12DDLLW
1X25/6RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X229/10RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X241/13RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability49% 11/10 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Matchday 11 of the Premier League takes place on as Chelsea FC host Leeds United at Stamford Bridge — kick-off at . The hosts come into this fixture having lost their last outing 0 - 2 against Tottenham Hotspur, while Leeds United most recently drew 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C.. In the current standings, Chelsea FC sit 4. while Leeds United occupy 12. place. Based on our statistical analysis, the data points towards Chelsea FC claiming the points at home — with a probability of 67%.

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds

Three-Way BetChelsea FC67%5/6·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals51%19/25·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals49%11/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetChelsea FC 67% · X 20% · Leeds United 13%Chelsea FCXLeeds UnitedBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 44% · No 56%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 51% · Under 49%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 29% · Under 71%OverUnderCorrect Score2-013%1-013%4-012%

Chelsea FC, Leeds United or draw? Vote now!

Chelsea FC
X
Leeds United
Submit your tip and see how others have voted.

Best Chelsea FC vs Leeds United pre-match odds

 ProbabilityChelsea FC67%Draw20%Leeds United13%Cosmobet13/1617/616/5Odd last updated:Zizobet4/513/531/10Odd last updated:Rollino5/629/1041/13Odd last updated:

Direct comparison (h2h) of Chelsea FC and Leeds United

Chelsea FC Form
Last 5 games
LWWLW
The last outing for Chelsea FC was against Tottenham Hotspur – a match they lost 0 - 2. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
The last 6 months have seen Chelsea FC play 5 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 2. Of their 3 home games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 1. They have scored 10 goals at home and away combined, conceding 6.
Looking at Chelsea FC's recent run of 5 games, they have netted 10 goals at a rate of 2 per game. Defensively, they have let in 6 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Chelsea FC have won 2 and lost 1 of their 3 home games in this stretch.
Leeds United Form
Last 5 games
DDLLW
Leeds United's last competitive outing ended 0 - 0 against Sunderland A.F.C. — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. They travel to Stamford Bridge for this Premier League fixture on .
Leeds United's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 6 games. Away from home, they have won of 4 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 6 on the road.
A closer look at Leeds United's last 6 games reveals a side that has scored 4 goals and conceded 7. Their away performances stand out: wins from 4 away fixtures, with 2 defeats — averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
Chelsea FC Leeds United
Goals scored
1.2
1.4
Corners
4.4
3.8
Fouls
11
12
Saves
3.1
3.4
Premier League

Premier League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Arsenal London Logo Arsenal London9924
2Manchester City Logo Manchester City91021
3Brighton & Hove Albion Logo Brighton & Hove Albion91719
4Chelsea FC Logo Chelsea FC Home9416
5Everton FC Logo Everton FC10216
· · · 5 places · · ·
11Hull City A.F.C.9111
12Leeds United Logo Leeds United Away9111
13Newcastle United Logo Newcastle United9-311
Last Meetings
04/26/2026
Chelsea FC
Leeds United
1-0
02/10/2026
Chelsea FC
Leeds United
2-2
12/03/2025
Leeds United
Chelsea FC
3-1
02/28/2024
Chelsea FC
Leeds United
3-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Chelsea FC ■ Leeds United

What Does Our Statistical Model Back? The Best Tip for Chelsea FC vs Leeds United

For this Premier League clash between Chelsea FC and Leeds United, our probability model and AI-powered analysis align on the same conclusion: Chelsea FC to win and take all three points — 67% probability, odds 5/6 at Rollino. Looking across all bet markets for the best combination of probability and odds, our top tip is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 49% and odds of 11/10 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals11/10Place betT&C's apply | +18