LaLigaMatchday 38 · · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Girona FC vs Elche CF: AI-Powered Prediction & Best Betting Odds

Matchday 38 of the LaLiga throws up a pivotal bottom-of-the-table encounter: Girona FC vs Elche CF at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on . Both sides are battling hard to climb the standings — our statistical model tells you where the betting value lies in this high-stakes fixture.
Girona FC LogoGirona FC18LDDLL
·
Elche CF LogoElche CF17WLDLW
1X26/7RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X235/12RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X281/25CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipDouble Chance X2Probability61% 21/20 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Survival instincts take centre stage at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in on as Girona FC and Elche CF meet in matchday 38 of the LaLiga. Girona FC (18.) lost their last outing 1 - 0 against Atlético Madrid and have kept just home wins this season, scoring and conceding at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi. Elche CF (17., pts) managed to win against Getafe CF (1 - 0). Both sides know that defeat here could prove very costly. Despite the high stakes, the numbers paint a clear picture – our model gives Girona FC the edge in this basement battle at home at 39%.

The Best Bets for Girona FC vs Elche CF on

Three-Way BetGirona FC39%6/7·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%5/4·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X261%21/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetGirona FC 39% · X 27% · Elche CF 34%Girona FCXElche CFBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 51% · No 49%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-011%0-110%

Who will win the match?

Girona FC
X
Elche CF
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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

 ProbabilityGirona FC39%Draw27%Elche CF34%Cosmobet19/25299/10081/25Odd last updated:Velobet17/203/13/1Odd last updated:Zizobet3/427/1016/5Odd last updated:

Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope

Girona FC Form
Last 5 games
LDDLL
The most recent game for Girona FC saw them take on Atlético Madrid, with the match ending 1 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this LaLiga fixture at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on looking to build on recent performances.
The last 6 months have seen Girona FC play 25 competitive matches, winning 7 and losing 9. Of their 11 home games during this stretch, they have won 4 and lost 4. They have scored 27 goals at home and away combined, conceding 30.
A closer look at Girona FC's last 25 games reveals a side that has scored 27 goals and conceded 30. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 11 home fixtures, with 4 defeats — averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Elche CF Form
Last 5 games
WLDLW
Elche CF most recently faced Getafe CF, winning the match 1 - 0. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood as they travel to Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
The last 6 months have seen Elche CF play 25 competitive matches, winning 7 and losing 12. Of their 12 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 10. They have scored 35 goals home and away combined, conceding 42.
In their last 25 games, Elche CF have scored a total of 35 goals — an average of 1.4 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 42 goals, giving them an average of 1.68 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 12 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Girona FC Elche CF
Goals scored
1
1.3
Corners
4.2
4.1
Fouls
9.3
13.7
Saves
3.9
2.6
LaLiga

LaLiga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Barcelona Logo FC Barcelona376194
2Real Madrid Logo Real Madrid374083
3Villarreal CF Logo Villarreal CF372269
· · · 12 places · · ·
16CA Osasuna Logo CA Osasuna37-542
17Elche CF Logo Elche CF Away37-842
18Girona FC Logo Girona FC Home37-1640
19RCD Mallorca Logo RCD Mallorca37-1339
Last Meetings
12/07/2025
Elche CF
Girona FC
3-0
01/06/2024
Elche CF
Girona FC
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Girona FC ■ Elche CF

Girona FC vs Elche CF: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 38

Our statistical model doesn't flinch from the pressure of a relegation battle — it finds the value within it. For Girona FC vs Elche CF in the LaLiga, the most likely outcome is Girona FC to take a home win that could prove vital to their survival prospects — 39% probability, odds 6/7 at Rollino. For additional security in what promises to be a tense, low-scoring encounter, the Double Chance 12 at 73% is well worth consideration. Our best bet, identified across all markets for this relegation six-pointer, is "Double Chance" — 61% probability, odds 21/20 at Palmslots.Best Tip Double Chance X221/20Place betT&C's apply | +18