Primeira LigaMatchday 30 · · Estádio do Dragão

The Most Popular Betting Tips for FC Porto vs CD Tondela with Current Odds

It's Primeira Liga football at its finest. FC Porto and CD Tondela collide on at Estádio do Dragão in a matchday 30 encounter that has quality written all over it. With FC Porto last going 1 - 3 against Estoril Praia and CD Tondela recording 2 - 2 against FC Gil Vicente, our statistical preview finds the sharpest betting value.
FC Porto LogoFC Porto1WDWDW
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CD Tondela LogoCD Tondela17DLDLD
1X23/16VelobetT&C's apply | +18
1X260/11RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X273/4RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipCD Tondela +1.5 GoalsProbability66% 11/8 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

All roads lead to Estádio do Dragão on as FC Porto (1.) host CD Tondela (17.) in matchday 30 of the Primeira Liga — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. FC Porto won 1 - 3 against Estoril Praia last time out and have scored 18 goals at home this season while conceding 6. CD Tondela (17.) shared the points against FC Gil Vicente (2 - 2), having won 3 of their last 20 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 59% probability to FC Porto taking the points on home soil in the top flight.

The Best Bets for FC Porto vs CD Tondela on

Three-Way BetFC Porto3/163/16·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals2/32/3·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipCD Tondela +1.5 Goals11/811/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetFC Porto 59% · X 23% · CD Tondela 18%FC PortoXCD TondelaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 50% · No 50%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 51% · Under 49%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 29% · Under 71%OverUnderCorrect Score1-012%1-111%2-011%

Who will win the match?

FC Porto
X
CD Tondela
Submit your tip and see how others have voted.

Current odds for FC Porto vs CD Tondela

 ProbabilityFC Porto59%Draw23%CD Tondela18%Cosmobet2/1143/8407/25Velobet1/611/215/1Odd last updated:Zizobet1/611/214/1Odd last updated:Palmslots3/1649/1031/2Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

FC Porto Form
Last 5 games
WDWDW
The last outing for FC Porto was against Estoril Praia – a match they won 1 - 3. A win that will have boosted confidence in the camp.
Over the past 6 months, FC Porto have won 16, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their 20 games. At home they have picked up 7 wins from 9 fixtures, losing . They have scored 37 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.85 per game.
FC Porto's most recent 20 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 37 goals (1.85 per game) while conceding 13 (0.65 per game). In terms of home performances, FC Porto have won 7, drawn 2 and lost of their 9 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
CD Tondela Form
Last 5 games
DLDLD
The last outing for CD Tondela was against FC Gil Vicente — a match they drew 2 - 2. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
The last 6 months have seen CD Tondela play 20 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 10. Of their 8 away games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 4. They have scored 17 goals home and away combined, conceding 32.
Looking at CD Tondela's recent run of 20 games, they have netted 17 goals at a rate of 0.85 per game. Defensively, they have let in 32 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, CD Tondela have won 2 and lost 4 of their 8 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
FC Porto CD Tondela
Goals scored
1.9
0.9
Corners
6.2
4.1
Fouls
14.1
15.1
Saves
2.2
3
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto Home294576
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP285671
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon294369
· · · 12 places · · ·
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia28-2425
17CD Tondela Logo CD Tondela Away27-2520
18AVS Futebol SAD Logo AVS Futebol SAD29-4312
Last Meetings
12/07/2025
CD Tondela
FC Porto
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ FC Porto ■ CD Tondela

Our AI Betting Tip for FC Porto vs CD Tondela

For this Primeira Liga clash between FC Porto and CD Tondela, our probability model and AI-powered analysis align on the same conclusion: FC Porto to win and take all three points — 59% probability, odds 3/16 at Palmslots. Looking across all bet markets for the best combination of probability and odds, our top tip is "Handicap - 1.5" — 66% and odds of 11/8 at Cosmobet.Best Tip CD Tondela +1.5 Goals11/8Place betT&C's apply | +18