CFC Genua vs AC Milano

When the Seria A reaches matchday 37, the quality on show is at its peak — and CFC Genua vs AC Milano at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on 05/17/2026 is no exception. CFC Genua (14.) have kept 6 wins at home this season, scoring 19 and conceding 16 on their own patch. AC Milano (4.) were beaten against Atalanta Bergamo (2 - 3), having won 13 of their last 24 games. Our data-driven model gives a 36% probability to CFC Genua winning this top-flight home fixture at 36%.

Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 37 of the Seria A

Three-Way BetCFC Genua36%15/4·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals62%10/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance 1X65%9/8·RollinoT&C's apply | +18

Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts

Three-Way BetCFC Genua 36% · X 29% · AC Milano 35%CFC GenuaXAC MilanoBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 45% · No 55%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 18% · Under 82%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-112%1-012%

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Current odds for CFC Genua vs AC Milano

ProbabilityCFC Genua36%Draw29%AC Milano35%

41/1126/919/25Odd last updated:

7/227/108/11Odd last updated:

7/227/108/11Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

CFC Genua Form

Last 5 games

DDLWW

The last outing for CFC Genua was against AC Fiorentina – a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game.

CFC Genua's most recent 24 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 30 goals (1.25 per game) while conceding 32 (1.33 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, CFC Genua have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their 12 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

Over their last 24 matches, CFC Genua have found the net 30 times — that's 1.25 goals per game on average. They have conceded 32 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 6 wins and 5 defeats from 12 home fixtures.

AC Milano Form

Last 5 games

LLDWL

On the previous matchday, AC Milano went up against Atalanta Bergamo and suffered a defeat at 2 - 3. The result means there is added pressure to deliver a positive result at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

AC Milano's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 13 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats from 24 games. Away from home, they have won 8 of 12 games, scoring 18 goals and conceding 9 on the road.

In their last 24 games, AC Milano have scored a total of 33 goals — an average of 1.38 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 22 goals, giving them an average of 0.92 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 8 wins from 12 games on the road.

Stats per Game

CFC Genua AC Milano

Goals scored

0.9

Corners

3.5

Fouls

9.5

Saves

2.6

2.9

Seria A

Seria A Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Inter Milano	36	54	85
2	SSC Napoli	35	19	70
3	Juventus Torino	36	29	68
4	AC Milano Away	36	18	67
5	AS Roma	36	24	67
· · · 7 places · · ·
13	Parma Calcio 1913	36	-18	42
14	CFC Genua Home	36	-8	41
15	AC Fiorentina	36	-11	38

Last Meetings

01/08/2026

AC Milano
CFC Genua

1-1

05/05/2025

CFC Genua
AC Milano

1-2

12/15/2024

AC Milano
CFC Genua

0-0

05/05/2024

AC Milano
CFC Genua

3-3

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ CFC Genua ■ AC Milano

What Does Our Statistical Model Back? The Best Tip for CFC Genua vs AC Milano

Derby day demands a sharper eye for value — and our model provides exactly that. Looking beyond the emotion, we rate CFC Genua to win the derby in front of their home faithful at 36% probability, best odds 15/4 at Palmslots. Our best overall pick for this Seria A derby is "Double Chance" — 65% probability and odds of 9/8 at Rollino.Best Tip Double Chance 1X9/8Place betT&C's apply | +18