FC Dallas vs St. Louis City SC

At 0:30 on Sunday, Toyota Stadium hosts another chapter in the MLS — the association's premier competition. FC Dallas (.) take on St. Louis City SC (.) in matchday 1 of the season. The hosts delivered another assured home performance against Houston Dynamo FC (4 - 3), while St. Louis City SC won 3 - 1 against New England Revolution and have conceded just goals per game on average this season. In the last 6 months, FC Dallas have won 2 of their 4 home games at Toyota Stadium. Our model arrives at a 58% probability for FC Dallas to come out on top in this top-flight encounter.

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City SC: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds

Three-Way BetFC Dallas58%17/20·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals60%11/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals40%8/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetFC Dallas 58% · X 21% · St. Louis City SC 21%FC DallasXSt. Louis City SCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 58% · No 42%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 60% · Under 40%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderCorrect Score0-011%2-110%3-010%

Current odds for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City SC

ProbabilityFC Dallas58%Draw21%St. Louis City SC21%

17/2029/1013/5Odd last updated:

5/629/1013/5Odd last updated:

21/2557/2027/10Odd last updated:

Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

FC Dallas Form

Last 5 games

WDLDW

On the previous matchday, FC Dallas went up against Houston Dynamo FC and came away with all three points at 4 - 3. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.

FC Dallas's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 5 games. At home, they have won 2 of 4 games, scoring 10 goals and conceding 8 on their own turf.

Over their last 5 matches, FC Dallas have found the net 10 times — that's 2 goals per game on average. They have conceded 9 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 2 wins and defeats from 4 home fixtures.

St. Louis City SC Form

Last 5 games

WLLLD

The most recent game for St. Louis City SC saw them take on New England Revolution, with the match ending 3 - 1. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to Toyota Stadium. They now make the trip to Toyota Stadium for this MLS clash.

Looking at the past 6 months, St. Louis City SC have taken 1 wins from 5 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Toyota Stadium. Their away games during this period have produced victories and 2 defeats. On average they have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.4 goals per game.

Looking at St. Louis City SC's recent run of 5 games, they have netted 4 goals at a rate of 0.8 per game. Defensively, they have let in 7 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, St. Louis City SC have won and lost 2 of their 2 away games in this stretch.

Stats per Game

FC Dallas St. Louis City SC

Goals scored

1.2

Corners

3.1

5.2

Fouls

12.4

11.3

Saves

2.1

3.3

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	5	11	13
2	New York City FC	5	7	10
3	Inter Miami CF	5	1	10

Last Meetings

07/20/2025

FC Dallas
St. Louis City SC

3-0

07/28/2024

St. Louis City SC
FC Dallas

2-1

06/16/2024

FC Dallas
St. Louis City SC

2-0

04/07/2024

St. Louis City SC
FC Dallas

0-0

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ FC Dallas ■ St. Louis City SC

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City SC: Our AI-Powered Tip for the MLS

Our statistical model points towards FC Dallas making the most of home advantage — a 58% probability, with the best odds of 17/20 at Velobet. When combining probability and value, our single best tip for this MLS match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — backed by a 40% probability and odds of 8/5 at Zizobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals8/5Place betT&C's apply | +18