FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC

The MLS sets the standard — and matchday 1 raises the bar further as FC Dallas (.) host Minnesota United FC (.) at Toyota Stadium on 04/23/2026 at 0:30. FC Dallas drew their last outing 1 - 1 against St. Louis City SC and have won 2 from 5 home games in this period — a record that makes them a tough opponent in the MLS. Minnesota United FC were in fine form against San Diego FC (1 - 2), having scored goals this season — an average of per game. Our statistical model and AI-powered probability calculation both point to a 49% likelihood of FC Dallas winning this top-flight home fixture and keeping their season on track.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the MLS Fixture

Three-Way BetFC Dallas49%13/11·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals64%2/3·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals42%28/17·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts

Three-Way BetFC Dallas 49% · X 22% · Minnesota United FC 29%FC DallasXMinnesota United FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 64% · No 36%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 64% · Under 36%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 42% · Under 58%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%2-19%2-07%

FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC on 04/23/2026: Full Odds Comparison for the MLS Clash at Toyota Stadium

ProbabilityFC Dallas49%Draw22%Minnesota United FC29%

11/1011/42/1Odd last updated:

23/205/221/10Odd last updated:

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Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

FC Dallas Form

Last 5 games

DWWDL

FC Dallas most recently faced St. Louis City SC, drawing the match 1 - 1. It was a result that left the squad with mixed feelings heading into this fixture.

The last 6 months have seen FC Dallas play 7 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 1. Of their 5 home games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost . They have scored 15 goals at home and away combined, conceding 10.

Looking at FC Dallas's recent run of 7 games, they have netted 15 goals at a rate of 2.14 per game. Defensively, they have let in 10 goals over the same period. At home specifically, FC Dallas have won 2 and lost of their 5 home games in this stretch.

Minnesota United FC Form

Last 5 games

WWDLW

Minnesota United FC's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against San Diego FC — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Toyota Stadium for this MLS fixture on Thursday.

In the last 6 months, Minnesota United FC have played 6 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 2 wins and 1 defeats from 4 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 8 goals while conceding 7 – a defensive average of 1.17 per game.

Minnesota United FC's most recent 6 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 8 goals (1.33 per game) while conceding 7 (1.17 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Minnesota United FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 4 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Toyota Stadium.

Stats per Game

FC Dallas Minnesota United FC

Goals scored

1.9

1.5

Corners

3.4

4.5

Fouls

12.1

12.3

Saves

2.5

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	7	11	16
2	Chicago Fire FC	7	4	13
3	Inter Miami CF	7	1	12

Last Meetings

07/05/2025

FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC

1-2

04/20/2025

Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas

0-0

06/20/2024

FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC

5-3

06/09/2024

Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas

1-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ FC Dallas ■ Minnesota United FC

What Does Our Statistical Model Back? The Best Tip for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC

Derby day demands a sharper eye for value — and our model provides exactly that. Looking beyond the emotion, we rate FC Dallas to win the derby in front of their home faithful at 49% probability, best odds 13/11 at Rollino. Our best overall pick for this MLS derby is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" — 42% probability and odds of 28/17 at Palmslots.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals28/17Place betT&C's apply | +18