Primeira LigaMatchday 12 · · Estádio Municipal

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: F.C. Arouca vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga Matchday 12

The Primeira Liga is where reputations are made and lost. On , F.C. Arouca (rank 5) take on Rio Ave FC (rank 17) at Estádio Municipal — kick-off at . Our AI model has gone through every detail of this top-level clash to bring you the most well-founded betting tip and the best odds available.
F.C. Arouca LogoF.C. Arouca5WWWWD
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Rio Ave FC LogoRio Ave FC17LWDLD
1X29/13RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X227/10RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X24/1ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability52% 9/10 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

The Primeira Liga - the flagship competition of the association — reaches matchday 12 with a fixture between F.C. Arouca and Rio Ave FC at Estádio Municipal on at . F.C. Arouca (5.) enter this game having won 1 from 1 home games recently and won 0 - 1 against F.C. Alverca last time out. Rio Ave FC (17.) suffered defeat against FC Famalicão (0 - 4). Their attacking record this season stands at goals — an average of per game. In the last 6 months, they have scored and conceded in away games. Our AI-powered probability-based forecast currently points to F.C. Arouca to win in front of their home crowd in the top flight at 56%.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Primeira Liga Fixture

Three-Way BetF.C. Arouca56%9/13·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals52%9/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals52%9/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetF.C. Arouca 56% · X 24% · Rio Ave FC 20%F.C. AroucaXRio Ave FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%OverUnderCorrect Score1-013%1-111%2-011%

F.C. Arouca, Rio Ave FC or draw? Vote now!

F.C. Arouca
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Rio Ave FC
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Best Available Odds for F.C. Arouca vs Rio Ave FC on

 ProbabilityF.C. Arouca56%Draw24%Rio Ave FC20%Cosmobet2/323/833/8Odd last updated:Zizobet5/814/54/1Odd last updated:Rollino9/1327/1037/10Odd last updated:

Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

F.C. Arouca Form
Last 5 games
WWWWD
On the previous matchday, F.C. Arouca went up against F.C. Alverca and came away with all three points at 0 - 1. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
Over the past 6 months, F.C. Arouca have won 2, drawn and lost of their 2 games. At home they have picked up 1 wins from 1 fixtures, losing . They have scored 2 goals in total during this period – an average of 1 per game.
F.C. Arouca's most recent 2 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 2 goals (1 per game) while conceding ( per game). In terms of home performances, F.C. Arouca have won 1, drawn and lost of their 1 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Rio Ave FC Form
Last 5 games
LWDLD
The most recent game for Rio Ave FC saw them take on FC Famalicão, with the match ending 0 - 4. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response when they visit Estádio Municipal. They now make the trip to Estádio Municipal for this Primeira Liga clash.
In the last 6 months, Rio Ave FC have played 2 games, winning 1 of them. Their away record in that period reads wins and defeats from matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 3 goals while conceding 6 – a defensive average of 3 per game.
In their last 2 games, Rio Ave FC have scored a total of 3 goals — an average of 1.5 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 6 goals, giving them an average of 3 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from games on the road.
Stats per Game
F.C. Arouca Rio Ave FC
Goals scored
1.6
1.2
Corners
4.2
5.1
Fouls
12.4
10.3
Saves
1.7
2.8
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto112233
2Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon112028
3Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP111324
4CD Santa Clara Logo CD Santa Clara11821
5F.C. Arouca Logo F.C. Arouca Home11520
6Academico Viseu11220
· · · 9 places · · ·
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia11-148
17Rio Ave FC Logo Rio Ave FC Away11-157
18Estoril Praia Logo Estoril Praia10-142
Last Meetings
01/31/2026
Rio Ave FC
F.C. Arouca
0-3
08/23/2025
F.C. Arouca
Rio Ave FC
3-3
02/10/2025
F.C. Arouca
Rio Ave FC
1-1
09/01/2024
Rio Ave FC
F.C. Arouca
1-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ F.C. Arouca ■ Rio Ave FC

F.C. Arouca vs Rio Ave FC: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 12

Our AI model has gone through every available data point for this Primeira Liga encounter and arrived at a clear conclusion. The most likely outcome is F.C. Arouca to secure a home win — rated at 56%, with the best odds of 9/13 at Rollino. When it comes to the single bet that best combines probability and value, our AI pick is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" at Cosmobet — 52% probability and odds of 9/10.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals9/10Place betT&C's apply | +18