It is the fixture that gets Estádio dos Barreiros talking — Maritimo Funchal vs Nacional Madeira on in the Primeira Liga. Both sets of supporters know what this match means, and both squads will feel the weight of expectation. Maritimo Funchal (15.) enter the derby having lost their last game 5 - 0 against Vitoria Guimarães and have scored goals at home this season. Nacional Madeira (13.) have won of their last 1 away games. Factoring in all the data, our AI model sees the high stakes of the occasion leading to a hard-fought draw — probability: 62%.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 12 of the Primeira Liga
Three-Way BetNacional Madeira62%22/9·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%9/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals55%9/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical help for successful sports betting
Three-Way BetMaritimo Funchal 17% · X 21% · Nacional Madeira 62%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 51% · No 49%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%Correct Score0-211%0-111%1-210%
Maritimo Funchal vs Nacional Madeira: who will win?
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Best Available Odds for Maritimo Funchal vs Nacional Madeira on
ProbabilityMaritimo Funchal17%Draw21%Nacional Madeira62%
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23/2041/1841/18Odd last updated:The latest results and performance in detail
Maritimo Funchal Form
Last 5 games
LL
The last outing for Maritimo Funchal was against Vitoria Guimarães – a match they lost 5 - 0. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
Maritimo Funchal's most recent 2 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 1 goals (0.5 per game) while conceding 7 (3.5 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, Maritimo Funchal have won , drawn and lost 1 of their 1 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
In their last 2 games, Maritimo Funchal have scored a total of 1 goals – an average of 0.5 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 7 goals, giving them an average of 3.5 against per game. Their home record in that period shows wins from 1 games.
Nacional Madeira Form
Last 5 games
WLWLL
Nacional Madeira most recently faced Sporting Braga, winning the match 1 - 0. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood as they travel to Estádio dos Barreiros.
Nacional Madeira's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, draws and 1 defeats from 2 games. Away from home, they have won of 1 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 3 on the road.
Nacional Madeira's most recent 2 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 3 goals (1.5 per game) while conceding 3 (1.5 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Nacional Madeira have won , drawn and lost 1 of their 1 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Estádio dos Barreiros.
Stats per Game
Maritimo Funchal
Nacional Madeira
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica Lisbon | 11 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| · · · 8 places · · · | ||||
| 12 |  C.F. Estrela da Amadora | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional Madeira Away | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitoria Guimarães | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo Funchal Home | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
Last Meetings
08/03/2025
Maritimo Funchal
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
3-0
08/04/2024
Maritimo Funchal
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
0-0
01/21/2024
Maritimo Funchal
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
3-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Maritimo Funchal
■ Nacional Madeira