It is the fixture that gets Estádio Municipal de Arouca talking — F.C. Arouca vs CD Tondela on in the Primeira Liga. Both sets of supporters know what this match means, and both squads will feel the weight of expectation. F.C. Arouca (10.) enter the derby having won their last game 1 - 3 against FC Gil Vicente and have scored goals at home this season. CD Tondela (17.) have won 3 of their last 10 away games. Factoring in all the data, our AI model sees F.C. Arouca having what it takes to leave Estádio Municipal de Arouca with the derby win — probability: 46%.
The Best Bets for F.C. Arouca vs CD Tondela on
Three-Way BetF.C. Arouca46%39/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals52%1/1·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals52%1/1·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetF.C. Arouca 46% · X 26% · CD Tondela 28%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 52% · No 48%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%Correct Score1-112%1-011%2-19%
Who will win F.C. Arouca vs CD Tondela?
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F.C. Arouca vs CD Tondela on : Full Odds Comparison for the Primeira Liga Clash at Estádio Municipal de Arouca
ProbabilityF.C. Arouca46%Draw26%CD Tondela28%
17/947/1619/16Odd last updated:
15/811/46/5Odd last updated:
39/2045/176/5Odd last updated:
17/947/1619/16Odd last updated:
15/811/46/5Odd last updated:
39/2045/176/5Odd last updated:Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope
F.C. Arouca Form
Last 5 games
WDLWL
F.C. Arouca's last competitive outing ended 1 - 3 against FC Gil Vicente — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Estádio Municipal de Arouca on .
The last 6 months have seen F.C. Arouca play 22 competitive matches, winning 9 and losing 10. Of their 10 home games during this stretch, they have won 5 and lost 3. They have scored 31 goals at home and away combined, conceding 33.
Over their last 22 matches, F.C. Arouca have found the net 31 times — that's 1.41 goals per game on average. They have conceded 33 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 5 wins and 3 defeats from 10 home fixtures.
CD Tondela Form
Last 5 games
WWDLL
CD Tondela's last competitive outing ended 2 - 0 against Moreirense FC — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Estádio Municipal de Arouca for this Primeira Liga fixture on .
The last 6 months have seen CD Tondela play 22 competitive matches, winning 5 and losing 10. Of their 10 away games during this stretch, they have won 3 and lost 5. They have scored 20 goals home and away combined, conceding 32.
Looking at CD Tondela's recent run of 22 games, they have netted 20 goals at a rate of 0.91 per game. Defensively, they have let in 32 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, CD Tondela have won 3 and lost 5 of their 10 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
F.C. Arouca
CD Tondela
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 33 | 47 | 85 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 33 | 62 | 79 |
| 3 |  Benfica Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 77 |
| · · · 5 places · · · | ||||
| 9 |  Estoril Praia | 33 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | F.C. Arouca Home | 33 | -19 | 39 |
| 11 |  F.C. Alverca | 33 | -16 | 39 |
| · · · 4 places · · · | ||||
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 33 | -26 | 29 |
| 17 | CD Tondela Away | 33 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS Futebol SAD | 33 | -40 | 20 |
Last Meetings
01/03/2026
CD Tondela
F.C. Arouca
F.C. Arouca
3-1
07/12/2025
F.C. Arouca
CD Tondela
CD Tondela
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ F.C. Arouca
■ CD Tondela
