Primeira LigaMatchday 34 · · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon — Primeira Liga Matchday 34

The Primeira Liga doesn't get much better than this. Estoril Praia (position 9) vs Benfica Lisbon (position 3) — a matchday 34 clash at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on at . Our statistical model has analysed the current form, head-to-head history and key stats — get the sharpest betting tip right here.
Estoril Praia LogoEstoril Praia9DDLLL
·
Benfica Lisbon LogoBenfica Lisbon3DDWWW
1X28/1PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X29/2VelobetT&C's apply | +18
1X27/25CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipEstoril Praia +1.5 GoalsProbability73% 23/24 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

When Estoril Praia and Benfica Lisbon meet, the Primeira Liga table becomes secondary. Yet the numbers still paint an interesting picture ahead of this matchday 34 derby at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on . Estoril Praia (9.) come into this one having won 6 of their last 21 games — their last result was 1 - 1 against F.C. Alverca. Benfica Lisbon (3.) drew 2 - 2 most recently. Despite the unpredictability that derbies bring, our AI model puts the probability of Benfica Lisbon silencing the home crowd with an away win at 49%.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon with Current Odds

Three-Way BetBenfica Lisbon49%4/13·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals64%2/5·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipEstoril Praia +1.5 Goals73%23/24·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetEstoril Praia 29% · X 22% · Benfica Lisbon 49%Estoril PraiaXBenfica LisbonBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 64% · No 36%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 64% · Under 36%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 42% · Under 58%OverUnderCorrect Score1-110%1-29%2-27%

Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon: who will win?

Estoril Praia
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Benfica Lisbon
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The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers

 ProbabilityEstoril Praia29%Draw22%Benfica Lisbon49%Cosmobet77/1039/87/25Odd last updated:Velobet15/29/22/7Odd last updated:Palmslots8/141/104/13Odd last updated:

Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form

Estoril Praia Form
Last 5 games
DDLLL
Estoril Praia's last competitive outing ended 1 - 1 against F.C. Alverca — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on .
The last 6 months have seen Estoril Praia play 21 competitive matches, winning 6 and losing 10. Of their 10 home games during this stretch, they have won 4 and lost 3. They have scored 33 goals at home and away combined, conceding 37.
A closer look at Estoril Praia's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 33 goals and conceded 37. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 10 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game.
Benfica Lisbon Form
Last 5 games
DDWWW
On the previous matchday, Benfica Lisbon went up against Sporting Braga and came away with a point at 2 - 2. The result means they head to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota looking to find a winner away from home.
Over the past 6 months, Benfica Lisbon have won 15, drawn 7 and lost of their 22 games. Away from home they have picked up 7 wins from 11 fixtures, losing . They have scored 48 goals in total during this period – an average of 2.18 per game.
Over their last 22 matches, Benfica Lisbon have found the net 48 times — that's 2.18 goals per game on average. They have conceded 18 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 7 wins and defeats from 11 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Estoril Praia Benfica Lisbon
Goals scored
0.9
2.2
Corners
3.5
8.6
Fouls
14.1
10.8
Saves
2.6
3.1
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto334785
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP336279
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon Away334777
4Sporting Braga Logo Sporting Braga332858
· · · 3 places · · ·
8Vitoria Guimarães Logo Vitoria Guimarães33-1042
9Estoril Praia Logo Estoril Praia Home33-139
10F.C. Arouca Logo F.C. Arouca33-1939
Last Meetings
01/03/2026
Benfica Lisbon
Estoril Praia
3-1
05/03/2025
Estoril Praia
Benfica Lisbon
1-2
12/23/2024
Benfica Lisbon
Estoril Praia
3-0
03/10/2024
Benfica Lisbon
Estoril Praia
3-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Estoril Praia ■ Benfica Lisbon

AI-Powered Tip for the Derby Between Estoril Praia and Benfica Lisbon

Every derby has a story — and our job is to find the value within it. For this Primeira Liga fixture between Estoril Praia (9.) and Benfica Lisbon (3.), the model gives Benfica Lisbon a 49% chance of winning the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota derby away from home. Best odds: 4/13 at Palmslots. Our best tip — probability and value combined — is "Handicap 1.5" — 73%, odds 23/24 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Estoril Praia +1.5 Goals23/24Place betT&C's apply | +18