Not all fixtures in the Championship carry the same weight — but the derby between Derby County F.C. and Stoke City F.C. most certainly does. Matchday 11 brings these two rivals together at Pride Park on at . Derby County F.C. (23.) head into this one having won 2 of their last 6 matches — suffered a disappointing loss against Queens Park Rangers (4 - 1). Their opponents (8.) have scored goals this season — an average of per game — and lost 2 - 3 against Middlesbrough F.C. last out. Cutting through the noise and crunching the data, our AI model arrives at a 51% probability to stun the home faithful and claim a memorable away win.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of the Championship
Three-Way BetStoke City F.C.51%13/8·VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals58%21/20·VelobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals58%21/20·VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C. 26% · X 23% · Stoke City F.C. 51%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 58% · No 42%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 58% · Under 42%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 35% · Under 65%Correct Score2-012%1-111%2-110%
Who will win the match?
X
Full Odds Comparison for the Championship Clash at Pride Park
ProbabilityDerby County F.C.26%Draw23%Stoke City F.C.51%
13/812/513/8Odd last updated:
17/119/413/8Odd last updated:
17/1151/2213/8Odd last updated:
13/812/513/8Odd last updated:17/119/413/8Odd last updated:
17/1151/2213/8Odd last updated:Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LDLWL
On the previous matchday, Derby County F.C. went up against Queens Park Rangers and suffered a defeat at 4 - 1. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.
The last 6 months have seen Derby County F.C. play 6 competitive matches, winning 2 and losing 3. Of their 3 home games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 1. They have scored 8 goals at home and away combined, conceding 11.
Derby County F.C.'s most recent 6 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 8 goals (1.33 per game) while conceding 11 (1.83 per game). In terms of home performances, Derby County F.C. have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 3 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Stoke City F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LWLLL
The last outing for Stoke City F.C. was against Middlesbrough F.C. — a match they lost 2 - 3. A defeat they will be eager to put right when they travel to Pride Park.
Stoke City F.C.'s form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 1 wins, draws and 5 defeats from 6 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 3 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 5 on the road.
Looking at Stoke City F.C.'s recent run of 6 games, they have netted 6 goals at a rate of 1 per game. Defensively, they have let in 14 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Stoke City F.C. have won 1 and lost 2 of their 3 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Derby County F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Championship
Championship Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea City A.F.C. | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough F.C. | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham United | 10 | 17 | 19 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 7 |  Southampton FC | 10 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City F.C. Away | 10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn Rovers FC | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| · · · 12 places · · · | ||||
| 22 |  Watford F.C. | 10 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County F.C. Home | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston North End F.C. | 10 | -12 | 4 |
Last Meetings
04/06/2026
Derby County F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
2-0
08/09/2025
Stoke City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
3-1
05/03/2025
Derby County F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
0-0
11/02/2024
Stoke City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
2-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Derby County F.C.
■ Stoke City F.C.
