On , the Championship matchday 43 brings Derby County F.C. and Oxford United F.C. together at Pride Park Stadium — kick-off at . The hosts currently sit 8. in the table, having suffered a defeat in their last outing 2 - 1 against Southampton FC. Their last game against Watford F.C. ended 2 - 0. Our AI-powered model arrives at a 49% probability for Derby County F.C. to secure a home win.
Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 43 of the Championship
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C.49%10/11·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%21/25·JettBetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%21/25·JettBetT&C's apply | +18
Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C. 49% · X 26% · Oxford United F.C. 25%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%Correct Score1-012%1-112%2-19%
Derby County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.: who will win?
X
The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers
ProbabilityDerby County F.C.49%Draw26%Oxford United F.C.25%
10/11122/4925/8Odd last updated:
9/1128/113/1Odd last updated:
17/205/216/5Odd last updated:
10/11122/4925/8Odd last updated:9/1128/113/1Odd last updated:17/205/216/5Odd last updated:Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LWLWW
The most recent game for Derby County F.C. saw them take on Southampton FC, with the match ending 2 - 1. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Championship fixture at Pride Park Stadium on looking to build on recent performances.
Over the past 6 months, Derby County F.C. have won 17, drawn 4 and lost 12 of their 33 games. At home they have picked up 9 wins from 16 fixtures, losing 4. They have scored 50 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.52 per game.
In their last 33 games, Derby County F.C. have scored a total of 50 goals – an average of 1.52 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 38 goals, giving them an average of 1.15 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 9 wins from 16 games.
Oxford United F.C. Form
Last 5 games
WDDLD
The most recent game for Oxford United F.C. saw them take on Watford F.C., with the match ending 2 - 0. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to Pride Park Stadium. They now make the trip to Pride Park Stadium for this Championship clash.
Oxford United F.C.'s form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 9 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats from 33 games. Away from home, they have won 3 of 16 games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 22 on the road.
In their last 33 games, Oxford United F.C. have scored a total of 31 goals — an average of 0.94 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 41 goals, giving them an average of 1.24 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 3 wins from 16 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Derby County F.C.
Oxford United F.C.
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Championship
Championship Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City F.C. | 42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town F.C. | 40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 |  Millwall F.C. | 42 | 9 | 73 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 7 |  Wrexham A.F.C. | 42 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby County F.C. Home | 42 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 |  Norwich City F.C. | 42 | 5 | 58 |
| · · · 11 places · · · | ||||
| 21 |  Portsmouth F.C. | 41 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford United F.C. Away | 42 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 |  Leicester City | 42 | -10 | 41 |
Last Meetings
10/18/2025
Oxford United F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
1-0
02/11/2025
Derby County F.C.
Oxford United F.C.
Oxford United F.C.
0-0
10/22/2024
Oxford United F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
1-1
12/29/2023
Oxford United F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
2-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Derby County F.C.
■ Oxford United F.C.
Derby County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip
After weighing up all available data for Derby County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C., our AI model favours Derby County F.C. to win on home soil at a probability of 49%. The best odds for this outcome are 10/11 at Cosmobet. Our standout tip is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — a 54% probability with top odds of 21/25 at JettBet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals21/25Place betT&C's apply | +18Other Games of Interest
Millwall F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.
Swansea City A.F.C. vs Southampton FC
Portsmouth F.C. vs Leicester CityPreston North End F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion
Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Coventry City F.C.
Watford F.C. vs Sheffield United
Bristol City vs Norwich City F.C.
Wrexham A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.
Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.
Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.Swansea City A.F.C. vs Southampton FCPortsmouth F.C. vs Leicester CityPreston North End F.C. vs West Bromwich AlbionHull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham CityBlackburn Rovers FC vs Coventry City F.C.Watford F.C. vs Sheffield UnitedBristol City vs Norwich City F.C.Wrexham A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.