Primeira LigaMatchday 31 · · Estádio João Cardoso

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: CD Tondela vs Nacional Madeira — Primeira Liga Matchday 31

The Primeira Liga sets the standard — and matchday 31 raises the bar further with CD Tondela (17.) hosting Nacional Madeira (14.) at Estádio João Cardoso on at . Our full head-to-head breakdown, form analysis and top bookmaker odds comparison deliver everything you need to bet with confidence.
CD Tondela LogoCD Tondela17LDLDL
·
Nacional Madeira LogoNacional Madeira14WLWLD
1X246/25RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X252/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X223/17ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability65% 9/10 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

The Primeira Liga is where reputations are built and defended — and on , matchday 31 at Estádio João Cardoso will add another chapter to that story. CD Tondela (17.) lost their last game 2 - 0 against FC Porto — a result that left them with a score to settle at Estádio João Cardoso. Nacional Madeira (14.) have scored goals this season and won 1 - 0 against F.C. Alverca last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 4 of their 21 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 38% probability for Nacional Madeira to prove their top-flight credentials on the road.

The Best Bets for CD Tondela vs Nacional Madeira on

Three-Way BetNacional Madeira38%19/13·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals65%9/10·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals65%9/10·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetCD Tondela 32% · X 30% · Nacional Madeira 38%CD TondelaXNacional MadeiraBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 42% · No 58%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 35% · Under 65%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 16% · Under 84%OverUnderCorrect Score0-113%1-113%1-012%

CD Tondela, Nacional Madeira or draw? Vote now!

CD Tondela
X
Nacional Madeira
Submit your tip and see how others have voted.

Best CD Tondela vs Nacional Madeira pre-match odds

 ProbabilityCD Tondela32%Draw30%Nacional Madeira38%Cosmobet19/1043/1813/9Odd last updated:Velobet17/1012/516/11Odd last updated:Zizobet19/1012/523/17Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

CD Tondela Form
Last 5 games
LDLDL
On the previous matchday, CD Tondela went up against FC Porto and suffered a defeat at 2 - 0. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.
Over the past 6 months, CD Tondela have won 3, drawn 7 and lost 11 of their 21 games. At home they have picked up 1 wins from 12 fixtures, losing 6. They have scored 17 goals in total during this period – an average of 0.81 per game.
Over their last 21 matches, CD Tondela have found the net 17 times — that's 0.81 goals per game on average. They have conceded 34 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 1 wins and 6 defeats from 12 home fixtures.
Nacional Madeira Form
Last 5 games
WLWLD
The most recent game for Nacional Madeira saw them take on F.C. Alverca, with the match ending 1 - 0. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to Estádio João Cardoso. They now make the trip to Estádio João Cardoso for this Primeira Liga clash.
Over the past 6 months, Nacional Madeira have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 11 of their 21 games. Away from home they have picked up wins from 11 fixtures, losing 7. They have scored 23 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.1 per game.
A closer look at Nacional Madeira's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 23 goals and conceded 28. Their away performances stand out: wins from 11 away fixtures, with 7 defeats — averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
CD Tondela Nacional Madeira
Goals scored
0.9
0.6
Corners
4.1
4.4
Fouls
14
14.1
Saves
3.5
3.8
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto304779
2Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon304472
3Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP295571
· · · 9 places · · ·
13CD Santa Clara Logo CD Santa Clara30-1129
14Nacional Madeira Logo Nacional Madeira Away30-928
15C.F. Estrela da Amadora Logo C.F. Estrela da Amadora30-1628
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia29-2426
17CD Tondela Logo CD Tondela Home29-2721
18AVS Futebol SAD Logo AVS Futebol SAD30-4313
Last Meetings
12/15/2025
Nacional Madeira
CD Tondela
3-1
07/24/2025
Nacional Madeira
CD Tondela
1-2
05/12/2024
CD Tondela
Nacional Madeira
2-3
01/06/2024
Nacional Madeira
CD Tondela
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ CD Tondela ■ Nacional Madeira

Our AI Betting Tip for CD Tondela vs Nacional Madeira

Ahead of this Primeira Liga fixture, our model has assessed every relevant factor and settled on Nacional Madeira to return from Estádio João Cardoso with the points as the most probable outcome — 38%, odds 19/13 at Palmslots. Our best bet overall — the one that offers the strongest combination of likelihood and odds value — is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" at Zizobet: 65% probability, odds 9/10.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals9/10Place betT&C's apply | +18