Top-flight football in the Primeira Liga doesn't get much more compelling than this. Casa Pia (16.) welcome Sporting Braga (4.) to Estádio Pina Manique on at in matchday 26 of the season. Casa Pia have scored goals this season at an average of per game and drew their last fixture 0 - 0 against CD Santa Clara. Sporting Braga (4.) could only manage a point against FC Famalicão (2 - 2), having won 13 of their last 21 games. Our model gives a 58% probability to Sporting Braga proving their class with an away win at 58%.
Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Primeira Liga Fixture
Three-Way BetSporting Braga58%5/9·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%7/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals55%7/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis
Three-Way BetCasa Pia 20% · X 22% · Sporting Braga 58%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 54% · No 46%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%Correct Score0-210%1-110%1-210%
Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga: who will win?
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The Best Bookmaker Odds for Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga – Side by Side
ProbabilityCasa Pia20%Draw22%Sporting Braga58%
24/522/75/9Odd last updated:
5/116/51/2Odd last updated:
9/231/108/15Odd last updated:
24/522/75/9Odd last updated:
5/116/51/2Odd last updated:9/231/108/15Odd last updated:Strengths, Weaknesses and Form – Both Sides Under the Microscope
Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
DLDLD
The last outing for Casa Pia was against CD Santa Clara – a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game.
Over the past 6 months, Casa Pia have won 3, drawn 9 and lost 9 of their 21 games. At home they have picked up 2 wins from 10 fixtures, losing 2. They have scored 20 goals in total during this period – an average of 0.95 per game.
Looking at Casa Pia's recent run of 21 games, they have netted 20 goals at a rate of 0.95 per game. Defensively, they have let in 39 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Casa Pia have won 2 and lost 2 of their 10 home games in this stretch.
Sporting Braga Form
Last 5 games
DWWLD
The last outing for Sporting Braga was against FC Famalicão — a match they drew 2 - 2. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
Over the past 6 months, Sporting Braga have won 13, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their 21 games. Away from home they have picked up 6 wins from 10 fixtures, losing 3. They have scored 45 goals in total during this period – an average of 2.14 per game.
A closer look at Sporting Braga's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 45 goals and conceded 21. Their away performances stand out: 6 wins from 10 away fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
Casa Pia
Sporting Braga
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 |  Benfica Lisbon | 30 | 44 | 72 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 29 | 55 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Braga Away | 29 | 28 | 53 |
| 5 |  FC Famalicão | 30 | 11 | 48 |
| · · · 9 places · · · | ||||
| 15 |  C.F. Estrela da Amadora | 30 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia Home | 29 | -24 | 26 |
| 17 |  CD Tondela | 29 | -27 | 21 |
Last Meetings
10/26/2025
Sporting Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
4-0
05/10/2025
Casa Pia
Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
2-1
12/29/2024
Sporting Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
1-2
05/05/2024
Sporting Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
4-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Casa Pia
■ Sporting Braga