Primeira LigaMatchday 28 · · Estádio Pina Manique

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon in the Primeira Liga

It doesn't get much bigger than this. Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon — the derby is back on , matchday 28 of the Primeira Liga. Kick-off at Estádio Pina Manique is at . Our AI-powered model cuts through the derby fever and delivers a data-driven betting tip with the best odds available.
Casa Pia LogoCasa Pia15LDDLW
·
Benfica Lisbon LogoBenfica Lisbon3WWDWW
1X29/1JettBetT&C's apply | +18
1X253/10RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X21/4PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipCasa Pia +1.5 GoalsProbability67% 11/9 Visit RollinoT&C's apply | +18

When Casa Pia and Benfica Lisbon meet, the Primeira Liga table becomes secondary. Yet the numbers still paint an interesting picture ahead of this matchday 28 derby at Estádio Pina Manique on . Casa Pia (15.) come into this one having won 3 of their last 19 games — their last result was 4 - 0 against C.F. Estrela da Amadora. Benfica Lisbon (3.) won 3 - 0 most recently. Despite the unpredictability that derbies bring, our AI model puts the probability of Benfica Lisbon silencing the home crowd with an away win at 58%.

Primeira Liga Matchday 28: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview

Three-Way BetBenfica Lisbon1/41/4·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals11/2011/20·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipCasa Pia +1.5 Goals11/911/9·RollinoT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetCasa Pia 20% · X 22% · Benfica Lisbon 58%Casa PiaXBenfica LisbonBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 54% · No 46%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%OverUnderCorrect Score0-210%1-110%1-210%

Current odds for Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon

 ProbabilityCasa Pia20%Draw22%Benfica Lisbon58%Cosmobet302/2325/61/4Odd last updated:JettBet19/251/102/9Odd last updated:Velobet12/15/12/9Odd last updated:

Casa Pia and Benfica Lisbon: Form Guide and Statistical Comparison

Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
LDDLW
The most recent game for Casa Pia saw them take on C.F. Estrela da Amadora, with the match ending 4 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Primeira Liga fixture at Estádio Pina Manique on looking to build on recent performances.
Over the past 6 months, Casa Pia have won 3, drawn 8 and lost 8 of their 19 games. At home they have picked up 2 wins from 9 fixtures, losing 2. They have scored 20 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.05 per game.
A closer look at Casa Pia's last 19 games reveals a side that has scored 20 goals and conceded 37. Their home performances stand out: 2 wins from 9 home fixtures, with 2 defeats — averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game.
Benfica Lisbon Form
Last 5 games
WWDWW
Benfica Lisbon most recently faced Vitoria Guimarães, winning the match 3 - 0. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood as they travel to Estádio Pina Manique.
The last 6 months have seen Benfica Lisbon play 20 competitive matches, winning 14 and losing . Of their 10 away games during this stretch, they have won 7 and lost . They have scored 45 goals home and away combined, conceding 13.
Over their last 20 matches, Benfica Lisbon have found the net 45 times — that's 2.25 goals per game on average. They have conceded 13 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 7 wins and defeats from 10 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Casa Pia Benfica Lisbon
Goals scored
1
2.2
Corners
2.9
8.6
Fouls
15.9
9.3
Saves
3.4
1.9
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto274372
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP265365
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon Away274165
4Sporting Braga Logo Sporting Braga262646
· · · 9 places · · ·
14C.F. Estrela da Amadora Logo C.F. Estrela da Amadora27-1228
15Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia Home26-2224
16Nacional Madeira Logo Nacional Madeira27-1022
Last Meetings
11/09/2025
Benfica Lisbon
Casa Pia
2-2
01/25/2025
Casa Pia
Benfica Lisbon
3-1
08/17/2024
Benfica Lisbon
Casa Pia
3-0
03/17/2024
Casa Pia
Benfica Lisbon
0-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Casa Pia ■ Benfica Lisbon

AI-Powered Tip for the Derby Between Casa Pia and Benfica Lisbon

Our AI model has done the analysis so you can bet with confidence — even in the most unpredictable of fixtures. For this Estádio Pina Manique derby in the Primeira Liga, our model identifies Benfica Lisbon as the likeliest side to win this Estádio Pina Manique derby away from home — 58% probability, best odds 1/4 at Cosmobet. Our headline bet for this fixture is "Handicap 1.5" — 67% probability, odds 11/9 at Rollino.Best Tip Casa Pia +1.5 Goals11/9Place betT&C's apply | +18