Oklahoma City Thunder – Denver Nuggets Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds | NBA 09.03.2025
The two top teams in the Western Conference clash on Sunday in the NBA as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Denver Nuggets. Who wins the 3rd meeting between the two teams this season?
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet on 09.03.2025, in what will be their 3rd of four regular season meetings this season. The game will be played at Paycom Center (Oklahoma City) with the home team Thunder being slightly favored to win this game.
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Oklahoma City Thunder |
Sun, 09.03.2025, 19:30 |
Denver Nuggets |
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1 |
x |
2 |
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8/11 |
13/1 |
11/8 |
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Expert Tip |
DEN Nuggets +4.5 Point Spread |
Odds 10/11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: Current situation
You would think an 11-game cushion atop of the standings would relax the Oklahoma City a bit, but that couldn’t be further from the truth. The sense of urgency has not dropped at all for OKC, they’ve won 6 games in a row and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still chasing the MVP award, finishing with the best record in the regular season would increase his odds significantly.
The guy he is contending with for the award is Nikola Jokic. Winning these head-to-head meetings could also have an impact on the award, so the importance of this game should not be underestimated. The Nuggets have won back-to-back games over Sacramento and Phoenix, the Joker once again stole the show with a stat line of 31 points, 21 rebounds and 22 assists in the latest win over Phoenix.
Oklahoma City Thunder Stats & Form
In their latest win over the Blazers, the OKC Thunder recorded an impressive feat holding the road team to just 89 points. It was the 2nd game in a row in which the defense won them the game, prior to that they took down the Grizzlies holding them to just 103 points. OKC is now 17-2 SU in 19 home games, plus they’ve covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 overall.
Denver Nuggets Stats & Form
After that historic night by the Joker against Phoenix, the Nuggets have now won 13 of 16 games and are 7-1 SU in their last 8 vs Western Conference opponents. As a team the Nuggets broke all kinds of records in their win over the Suns, recording 45 assists as a team and shooting 58% from the field and 52% from three. The 21 threes made was particularly impressive for a team that has spent most of the season in the bottom tier when it comes to threes made.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: Head-to-Head
The two teams have split the two meetings this season, with both games taking place at Ball Arena in Denver. OKC will host game number 3, they’ve had the upper hand in the last 5 meetings winning 4 of them. This will be the 202nd regular season meeting all time, the Thunder hold a 106 to 95 edge in wins so far.
Oklahoma City Thunder – Denver Nuggets Odds
If you like SGA and co. here, odds of 8/11 are available for a home win. Backing the Nuggets will get you odds of 11/8 for a road win here.
The point total has been set at 225.5 points, with odds of 10/11 supporting either the over or the under.
Top 3 Betting Odds
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tip | Odds |
| Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 Point Spread | 10/11 |
| Over 225.5 Total Points | 10/11 |
| Denver Nuggets +4.5 Point Spread | 10/11 |
Betting tip and prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets (09.03.2025)
In what could potentially be a Western Conference Finals match-up, the Nuggets and Thunder will show us why exactly they’ve spent the majority of 2025 occupying the two top spots in the Conference. Playing at home has the potential to give a slight edge to the Thunder here, at Paycom Center they’ve lost just 4 of 31 games this season. The main difference between the two teams is the amount of threes made per game this season. Although the Nuggets are one of the more efficient teams from distance, they make just 12.1 per game which is good enough for only 27th in the NBA. The Thunder average 14.1 per game which is the 8th highest mark, so this game could very well come down to execution from three-point land. Also, this will be a good test for the Denver Nuggets defense and Jamal Murray in particular. Going up against the MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will show us just how well Murray has returned to form after all the injuries he has suffered in the past few years. Denver also got Aaron Gordon back in the Phoenix game, he will undoubtedly get a chance to guard Chet Holmgren down the stretch. Even though Chet has the height advantage, physically he might not be up to the level of Gordon here and this is why we favor Denver in this match-up. Let’s back the road team plus the extra points.
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Expert Tip |
DEN Nuggets -4.5 Point Spread |
Odds 10/11 |